793  
FNUS75 KREV 100818  
FWSREV  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR INDEPENDENCE LAKE RX...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV  
118 AM PDT FRI OCT 10 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0608 PDT ON OCTOBER 10.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE IN RENO.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
* WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM THE SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A  
COLD FRONT PUSHING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.  
 
* TODAY WILL BE MOSTLY DRY. THERE IS A 30-40% CHANCE FOR SHOWERS  
TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. AMOUNTS WILL BE MINIMAL, LESS THAN  
0.10".  
 
* CONTINUED WET AND COOL PATTERN THROUGH MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR IN THE MORNING, THEN PARTLY CLOUDY MID-DAY.  
BECOMING CLEAR AGAIN BETWEEN 1300-1800.  
TEMPERATURE.........40 AT IGNITION...MAX 56.  
RH..................70% AT IGNITION...MIN 38%.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH THROUGH  
1100, THEN INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 12-18 MPH WITH  
GUSTS AROUND 30-35 MPH.  
CHC WETTING RAIN....0%.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0%.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-500 FT AGL THEN 2600-3600 FT AGL IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST  
30-35 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
VENTILATION.........POOR TO VERY GOOD INCREASING TO EXCELLENT LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (PDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........10 15 30 40 10 10  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............40 44 49 50 52 56  
RH..............70 72 70 55 44 38  
20 FT WIND......S 12 S 12 S 12 S 17 SW 16 SW 16  
20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 30 33 25  
MX HT MSL (KFT).0.3 2.4 2.4 3.3 3.6 3.6  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 20 SW 30 SW 30 SW 30 SW 35 SW 35  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 59 59 89 105 105  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR GOOD GOOD VYGD EXNT EXNT  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. SNOW LEVELS START AROUND  
7,500' EARLY, FALLING TO AROUND 6,500' BY 0500.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 32.  
RH..................MAX 90%.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 12-17 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH  
THROUGH 2000, THEN DECREASING TO 6-10 MPH WITH GUSTS  
TO 20 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
CHC WETTING RAIN....0% INCREASING TO 10% OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5%.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-1900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH DECREASING TO 15-20 MPH  
IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
VENTILATION.........VERY GOOD TO MARGINAL.  
 
TIME (PDT) 5 PM 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM  
SKY (%).........10 45 55 90 90 90  
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSN RNSN RNSN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 10 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............46 40 38 36 34 34  
RH..............47 75 84 84 85 85  
20 FT WIND......SW 15 SW 15 SW 9 SW 10 SW 10 SW 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 25 20  
MX HT MSL (KFT).3.2 3.2 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.3  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 30 SW 30 SW 15 SW 20 SW 20 SW 20  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..76 76 20 22 22 21  
VENTRATE CAT....VYGD VYGD MRGL FAIR FAIR FAIR  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.  
30-40% CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION THROUGH 1000.  
SNOW LEVELS AROUND 6,500'.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 45.  
RH..................MIN 45%.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20  
MPH THROUGH AROUND 0800, THEN WEST 5-10 MPH WITH  
GUSTS UP TO 15-20 MPH.  
CHC WETTING RAIN....10%.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10%.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-4300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15-20 MPH.  
VENTILATION.........MARGINAL TO VERY GOOD.  
 
TIME (PDT) 5 AM 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM  
SKY (%).........90 70 52 40 40 40  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....SNSHWR SNSHWR NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).5 5 5 10 10 10  
TEMP............32 30 34 40 43 45  
RH..............90 83 70 60 48 45  
20 FT WIND......SW 9 SW 9 SW 7 W 7 W 7 W 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 15 15 15 20  
MX HT MSL (KFT).1.3 1.3 1.7 2.5 2.5 4.5  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 15 SW 15 W 15 W 20 W 20 W 20  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..17 17 24 43 43 76  
VENTRATE CAT....MRGL MRGL FAIR GOOD GOOD VYGD  
 
 
FORECASTER...MCKELLAR  
REQUESTED BY...LYNDSEY LASCHECK  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2523068.3/REV  
.DELDT 10/10/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL LYNDSEY.LASCHECK@TNC.ORG,CARMELLA.STIRRAT@TNC.ORG  
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