024  
FNUS75 KREV 041247  
FWSREV  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ASH CREEK HAND PILES...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV  
447 AM PST TUE NOV 4 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 PST ON NOVEMBER 04.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE IN RENO.  
   
..WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 10 PM PST WEDNESDAY  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
* LIGHT RAIN THROUGH MIDDAY, THEN BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS THIS  
AFTERNOON, BECOMING GUSTY INTO THE EVENING.  
 
* STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY  
MORNING, WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.  
 
* WETTING RAINS LIKELY (>90% CHANCE) ON WEDNESDAY AS A STORM  
SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY THIS MORNING WITH RAINFALL  
AMOUNTS AROUND 0.10".  
TEMPERATURE.........41 AT IGNITION...MAX 56.  
RH..................97% AT IGNITION...MIN 61%.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST 4-8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
UPSLOPE 3-7 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 8-13 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHC WETTING RAIN....40% DECREASING TO 5% IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0%.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.  
VENTILATION.........FAIR.  
 
TIME (PST) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM  
SKY (%).........95 86 71  
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY DEFNTE  
WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............40 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0  
TEMP............41 47 53  
RH..............97 94 75  
20 FT WIND......SE 6G15 S 10G20 S 13G25  
MX HT MSL (KFT).1.7 2.1 2.6  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 15 S 15 S 15  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..20 25 37  
VENTRATE CAT....FAIR FAIR FAIR  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OVERNIGHT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 40.  
RH..................MAX 100%.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 12-17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH  
INCREASING TO 20-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40  
MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
CHC WETTING RAIN....5%.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0%.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO 20-25 MPH IN  
THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
VENTILATION.........FAIR.  
 
TIME (PST) 4 PM 7 PM 10 PM 1 AM  
SKY (%).........77 60 29 55  
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RAIN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0  
TEMP............56 52 50 47  
RH..............61 69 69 72  
20 FT WIND......S 15G30 S 22G40 S 22G40 S 21G35  
MX HT MSL (KFT).2.2 1.7 1.8 1.7  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 15 S 25 S 25 S 20  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..29 34 36 31  
VENTRATE CAT....FAIR FAIR FAIR FAIR  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY AND WINDY. RAIN WITH TOTALS AROUND 0.50".  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 51.  
RH..................MIN 84%.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH  
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 15-20 WITH GUSTS TO  
35 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHC WETTING RAIN....90% DECREASING TO 30% IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10%.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-4300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 40 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND  
30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
VENTILATION.........VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT.  
 
TIME (PST) 4 AM 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM  
SKY (%).........91 98 100 100  
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE  
WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............90 90 30 30  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 10 10 10  
TEMP............44 41 43 50  
RH..............84 87 100 85  
20 FT WIND......S 22G35 S 23G35 S 23G35 SW 26G40  
MX HT MSL (KFT).3.9 3.1 3.1 4.3  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 40 S 40 SW 30 SW 30  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..137 104 83 117  
VENTRATE CAT....EXNT EXNT VYGD EXNT  
   
FORECAST THROUGH SATURDAY  
 
   
THURSDAY  
 
CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.  
SLOPE WINDS.    
SATURDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.  
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SLOPE WINDS.  
 
 
FORECASTER...FUENTES/DEUTSCHENDORF  
REQUESTED BY...CHRISTOPHER CROWL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2525017.0/REV  
.DELDT 11/04/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CHRISTOPHER.CROWL@USDA.GOV  
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