103
FXUS65 KREV 202042
AFDREV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
1242 PM PST FRI FEB 20 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* DRY CONDITIONS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES PERSIST WITH COLD
TEMPERATURES THROUGH SUNDAY ALONG WITH BELOW ZERO WIND CHILLS
NEAR THE SIERRA CREST WITH GUSTY BREEZES.
* ANOTHER STORM ARRIVES MONDAY WITH VALLEY RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION
MOUNTAIN SNOW THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FLOODING POTENTIAL EXISTS, BUT
CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW.
DISCUSSION
OUR BRIEF BREAK IN THE ACTIVE STORM PATTERN HAS ARRIVED! DON'T
FORGET TO WEAR YOUR SUNSCREEN AND SUNGLASSES BECAUSE THE SUN IS
REFLECTING OFF ALL THAT FRESH SNOW COVER. LOOKING OUT TO THE REST
OF THE WEEKEND, IT WILL BE QUITE COLD OUT, BUT FAIRLY TYPICAL FOR
LATE FEBRUARY. MORNING LOWS TOMORROW WILL BE IN THE TEENS FOR
WESTERN NV AND NE CA, SINGLE DIGITS FOR THE TAHOE BASIN, AND
SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE AND BELOW ZERO FOR MONO COUNTY. PRIMARY
CONCERN FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS WILL BE WIND CHILLS BELOW ZERO IN
THE HIGHEST TERRAIN AT THE RIDGES, SO BE SURE TO BUNDLE UP IN
LAYERS.
THE NEXT STORM ARRIVES ON SUNDAY AS A LARGE TROUGH DROPS JUST OFF
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COASTLINE. THERE COULD BE MULTIPLE WAVES
WITH THIS TROUGH AND FOR NOW IT LOOKS LIKE NE CA AND FAR NW NV
WILL GET A LITTLE PREVIEW OF GUSTY WINDS AND SOME LIGHT SHOWERS
LATE SUNDAY INTO EARLY MONDAY. THE BULK OF THE STORM IS STILL SLATED
TO ARRIVE DURING THE MONDAY-WEDNESDAY TIMEFRAME WITH THE MOST
INTENSE PRECIPITATION ON TUESDAY. SNOW LEVELS WITH THIS FIRST
WAVE ON SUNDAY WILL STILL BE RELATIVELY LOW (AROUND 6000 FEET),
BUT SNOW LEVELS WILL GRADUALLY RISE FROM MONDAY INTO WEDNESDAY
TO ABOVE 7000 TO 8000 FEET. WITH WHAT WE ARE LOOKING AT RIGHT
NOW, WE'D PLAN ON SEEING HEAVY, WET SNOW IN THE SIERRA ABOVE
7000-8000 FT AND THEN MOSTLY RAIN BELOW THAT THRESHOLD.
THE COMBINATION OF RAIN OVER SNOW WILL LEAD TO RISES AND FAST FLOWS
ON AREAS RIVERS AND CREEKS. WHILE IT IS STILL A BIT EARLY TO SAY IF
WE WILL SEE RIVER FLOODING, THERE IS A HEIGHTENED CONCERN. IN
PREPARATION FOR THE WETTER/WARMER CONDITIONS, EVERYONE SHOULD BE
SURE TO CLEAR ALL GUTTERS AND DRAINS FREE OF SNOW. DO YOU HAVE SNOW
PILED UP HIGH ON YOUR HOME? NOW'S THE TIME TO ENSURE IT IS SAFELY
REMOVED AHEAD OF THE WET WEATHER NEXT WEEK. RAIN ON SNOW COULD
RESULT IN ROOF AVALANCHES AND OTHER ATYPICAL IMPACTS.
IT DOES LOOK LIKE WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS RESUME AFTER MIDWEEK
NEXT WEEK, BUT WE MAY BE DEALING WITH RESIDUAL RAIN-ON-SNOW
IMPACTS.
-EL
AVIATION
PLAN ON MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS OVER THE WEEKEND. SOME PATCHY FOG IS
ALSO POSSIBLE TONIGHT INTO SAT 15Z AT KTRK. OTHERWISE, DRY AND COLD
CONDITIONS PREVAIL ALONG WITH GENERALLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
-EL
AVALANCHE
NO SNOW IS FORECAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND
OCCASIONAL HIGH CLOUDS.
WINDS SATURDAY: RIDGETOP GUSTS 10 TO 40 MPH OUT OF THE W/SW WITH
WIND CHILLS OF -10 TO -15F.
SUNDAY: WIND GUSTS BEGIN TO INCREASE ON SUNDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT
SYSTEM WITH WINDS 50 TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE ALONG THE HIGHEST RIDGES.
MONDAY PM: THE NEXT STORM ARRIVES WITH MORE SNOW TO THE MOUNTAINS
ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS. HOWEVER, THIS SYSTEM IS WARMER AND MAY LEAD
TO RAIN OVER SNOW IN ELEVATIONS BELOW 7 TO 8 KFT.
-HC/EL
REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
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