201
FXUS65 KREV 142107
AFDREV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
207 PM PDT SAT MAR 14 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* GUSTY WINDS WILL POSE IMPACTS TO RECREATION AND TRAVEL THIS
AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE, MILD WEATHER PREVAILS THIS WEEKEND.
* STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL RESULT IN HISTORIC MARCH WARMTH NEXT
WEEK.
* DRY AND MILD WEATHER IS FAVORED THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND, BUT A MORE
UNSETTLED PATTERN IS POSSIBLE FOR THE FINAL WEEK OF MARCH.
DISCUSSION
POST-FRONTAL WINDS WILL REMAIN BREEZY THIS AFTERNOON WITH N/NW GUSTS
OF 25-35 MPH PRESENTING IMPACTS TO RECREATION AND AIR/GROUND TRAVEL
INTO THE EVENING. THIS WEEKEND WILL BE A BIT COOLER THAN IN PREVIOUS
DAYS, BUT DAYTIME HIGHS WILL STILL RUN 5-15F ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGES
THROUGH SUNDAY.
CONFIDENCE REMAINS HIGH ON HISTORIC MARCH WARMTH NEXT WEEK AS
UNSEASONABLY STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVERSPREADS THE REGION. SHARP
WARMING BEGINS ON MONDAY AS TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOUT 10F WARMER
THAN SUNDAY. TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY WILL BE THE WARMEST DAYS OF THE
WEEK AS DAYTIME HIGHS REACH THE LOW-MID 70S ACROSS SIERRA VALLEYS
AND MID-UPPER 80S FOR NE CA AND W NV VALLEYS. RECORDS WILL BE
SHATTERED ON A DAILY BASIS WITH A HIGH LIKELIHOOD (AS MUCH AS 75%)
OF RENO EXCEEDING 83F DURING THIS PERIOD -- SETTING A NEW RECORD FOR
WARMEST MARCH DAY. SNOWMELT WILL LIKELY ACCELERATE IN RESPONSE TO
THIS ANOMALOUS HEAT SPELL, MAINTAINING COLD AND FAST FLOWS ON AREA
WATERWAYS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALSO KEEP THE REGION DRY THROUGH AT
LEAST NEXT WEEKEND.
EXTENDED GUIDANCE IS STILL KEEN ON HIGH PRESSURE BREAKING DOWN
AROUND/AFTER MARCH 23, ALLOWING THE STORM TRACK TO DIP SOUTHWARD.
WHETHER THAT TRANSLATES TO A WETTER, WINDIER PATTERN DURING THE
FINAL WEEK OF MARCH IS UNCERTAIN, BUT IT'S LOOKING MORE AND MORE
LIKELY THAT A PATTERN CHANGE OF SOME FLAVOR IS IN STORE TO KICK OFF
SPRING.
-SALAS
AVIATION
INCREASED N/NW BREEZES OF 20-30 KTS WILL CONTINUE TO POSE LLWS
CONCERNS UNTIL WINDS SUBSIDE BETWEEN 02Z AND 05Z. OTHERWISE, VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND AND NEXT WEEK.
FOR NEXT WEEK, RECORD WARM TEMPERATURES MAY RESULT IN DENSITY
ALTITUDE ISSUES FOR WESTERN NEVADA TERMINALS.
-SALAS
REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NV...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING NVZ001-004.
CA...NONE.
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