007
FXUS65 KREV 150830
AFDREV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
130 AM PDT SUN MAR 15 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* TODAY WILL HAVE MILD TEMPERATURES WITH LIGHT WINDS.
* STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL RESULT IN HISTORIC MARCH WARMTH THIS
WEEK.
* DRY AND MILD WEATHER IS FAVORED THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND, BUT A MORE
UNSETTLED PATTERN IS POSSIBLE FOR THE FINAL WEEK OF MARCH.
DISCUSSION
* WITH THE PASSAGE OF YESTERDAY'S COLD FRONT, TODAY'S HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL FALL AROUND 2-5 DEGREES. WE'LL HAVE MOSTLY 60S
IN WESTERN NV AND MID TO UPPER 50S FOR THE EASTERN SIERRA
COMMUNITIES. THESE TEMPERATURE READINGS ARE STILL 5-10 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL FOR MID-MARCH. WINDS WILL BE LESS BREEZY TODAY
ACROSS THE REGION, WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH ON THE RIDGETOPS THIS
AFTERNOON. OUTSIDE OF SOME HIGH-LEVEL CLOUDS, IT'S A NICE DAY
TO GET OUTDOORS.
* CONFIDENCE REMAINS HIGH FOR A HISTORIC MARCH HEAT WAVE THIS
WEEK. THE MODEL ENSEMBLES ARE ALL SHOWING THAT A VERY STRONG
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL SHIFT OVER THE WESTERN U.S.
TEMPERATURES WILL PEAK BETWEEN TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY, AS
DAYTIME HIGHS REACH THE LOW-MID 70S ACROSS SIERRA VALLEYS AND
MID-UPPER 80S IN NORTHEAST CA AND WESTERN NV VALLEYS. DAILY
RECORDS ARE LIKELY (>75%), AS WELL AS MONTHLY HIGH TEMPERATURE
RECORDS IN RENO (CURRENTLY AT 83 DEGREES). SNOWMELT WILL LIKELY
ACCELERATE IN RESPONSE TO THIS ANOMALOUS HEAT SPELL, MAINTAINING
COLD AND FAST FLOWS ON AREA WATERWAYS. NO PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED ALL WEEK.
* LONG-TERM GUIDANCE STARTS TO SHOW THE BREAKDOWN OF THIS STRONG
RIDGE BY AROUND MARCH 23RD. AT THIS TIME, THERE IS LOW
CONFIDENCE IN PRECIPITATION OR WINDS. -MCKELLAR
AVIATION
* VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH OVERALL LIGHT WINDS TODAY
THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK.
* FOR NEXT WEEK, RECORD WARM TEMPERATURES MAY RESULT IN DENSITY
ALTITUDE ISSUES FOR WESTERN NEVADA TERMINALS.
-MCKELLAR
REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
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