603
FXUS65 KREV 070803
AFDREV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
103 AM PDT SUN JUN 7 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* TEMPERATURES COOL OFF TO NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW EARLY JUNE
SEASONAL AVERAGES TODAY THROUGH MID-WEEK.
* GUSTY WINDS AND SHOWER CHANCES RETURN MONDAY, THEN DRY AND WARM
FOR LATE-WEEK.
DISCUSSION
CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS THIS MORNING HAVE COMBINED TO DROP
LOW TEMPS ABOUT 10 DEGREES FROM YESTERDAY MORNING. WESTERN NV
VALLEYS WILL DIP JUST BELOW 50 DEGREES THIS MORNING AND SIERRA
VALLEYS WILL GET DOWN TO NEAR FREEZING. ANOTHER TROUGH OVER THE
PACIFIC NW EXTENDING DOWN THROUGH THE WESTERN US IS EXPECTED TO
PASS THROUGH MONDAY. ONCE THAT TROUGH EXITS THE WESTERN US, A
RIDGE SLOWLY BUILDS IN, LEAVING OUR AREA ON THE EDGE OF THE HIGH
PRESSURE THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.
TEMPERATURES: IN RECENT MODELS RUNS, TEMPERATURES HAVE TRENDED
WARMER THIS WEEK, WITH TUESDAY BEING THE COOLEST DAY OF THE WEEK.
HIGHS BOTTOM OUT IN THE UPPER 70S IN LOWER VALLEYS AND MID 60S IN
SIERRA VALLEYS. WHEN THE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES CLOSER THROUGHOUT
THE WEEK, OUR TEMPS WARM UP TO THE LOW-MID 90S IN LOWER VALLEYS BY
FRIDAY. MORNING LOWS ALSO WARM UP EACH DAY, AND WE COULD SEE LOWS
OF 60 OR JUST SHY OF 60 LATER THIS WEEK. HIGHER ELEVATIONS WILL
BE A TAD COOLER IN THE MORNINGS - HANGING AROUND THE MID-40S.
WINDS & PRECIPITATION: TODAY WILL BE DRY AND A LITTLE BREEZY IN
THE AFTERNOON WITH WESTERLY GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. PRECIP CHANCES AND
WINDS INCREASE MONDAY AS THE TROUGH BRUSHES BY. POPS HAVE TRENDED
LOWER IN THE LATEST GUIDANCE TO AROUND 20% ALONG THE SIERRA CREST
FROM TAHOE NORTHWARD, AND 20-50% IN WESTERN NV MONDAY AFTERNOON.
THERE IS A SLIGHT UPTICK IN THE PWATS WITH THIS SYSTEM (0.5-0.6"),
ALTHOUGH QPF TOTALS ARE LESS THAN 0.10". IN ADDITION, 700MB WINDS
INCREASE OUT OF THE WEST TO 30-40KT MONDAY, WHICH COULD MIX DOWN
ALONG THE SIERRA FRONT AFTER 5 PM. WIDESPREAD GUSTS OF 35-40 MPH
WITH WIND PRONE LOCATIONS ALONG US-395 TOPPING OUT AROUND 55 MPH.
WE DRY OUT TUESDAY THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK, AND WINDS REMAIN
BREEZY BUT NOT TOO CONCERNING. WINDS DO SHIFT OUT OF THE
NORTH/NORTHEAST MID-WEEK, BUT THE GRADIENTS DON'T APPEAR TO BE TOO
STRONG TO CAUSE CONCERN.
-JUSTIN
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE TODAY. BREEZY WESTERLY WINDS THIS
AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS 15-20KT FOR ALL TERMINALS. FL100 WINDS
INCREASE AGAIN ON MONDAY TO 30-40KT OUT OF THE WEST. EXPECT AN
UPTICK IN WIND SPEEDS TO 15-20KT GUSTING 25-30KT MONDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. THERE'S LIKELY GOING TO BE ANOTHER ROUND OF MOUNTAIN
WAVE TURBULENCE AND LLWS ON MONDAY AS WELL.
PRECIP CHANCES START SHOWING UP MONDAY TOO, BUT THEY WILL LIKELY
BE CONFINED TO THE SIERRA CREST FROM LAKE TAHOE NORTHWARD. THERE
IS A LOW CHANCE (20-30%) THE SIERRA FRONT AND WESTERN NV WILL SEE
LIGHT RAIN MONDAY AFTERNOON, BUT CONFIDENCE IS LOW.
-JUSTIN
REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
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