462  
FOUS71 KRHA 021350  
FFHPA2  
HEADWATER STATEMENT FOR THE DELAWARE AND SUSQUEHANNA BASINS  
MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA  
833 AM EST MON DEC 2 2024  
 
APPROXIMATE 1/3/6/12/24-HR BASIN AVERAGED RAINFALL (INCHES)  
REQUIRED TO CAUSE MINOR, MODERATE, AND MAJOR FLOODING AT THE  
INDICATED HEADWATER LOCATIONS.  
 
.B RHA 241202 Z DH12/DC2412021333/DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF/PPKCF/PPDCF  
:  
:IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR 12HR 24HR HEADWATER NAME  
:======= ==== ==== ==== ==== ==== ====================  
:  
: NWS BINGHAMTON SERVICE AREA...  
: SUSQUEHANNA BASIN...  
: CHENANGO RIVER...  
SHBN6 2.2/ 2.3/ 2.4/ 2.4/ 2.5 :SHERBURNE (8.5FT)  
:SHBN6MD 2.7/ 2.9/ 3.0/ 3.0/ 3.2 SHERBURNE (9)  
:SHBN6MJ 3.4/ 3.5/ 3.6/ 3.6/ 3.9 SHERBURNE (10.6)  
: OTSELIC RIVER...  
CINN6 3.5/ 3.7/ 4.0/ 4.1/ 4.5 :CINCINNATUS (9FT)  
: ...MODERATE AND MAJOR FLOOD STAGES ABOVE RATING TABLE.  
: COHOCTON RIVER...  
CMPN6 1.9/ 2.5/ 2.7/ 2.8/ 3.1 :CAMPBELL (8FT)  
:CMPN6MD 3.0/ 3.8/ 4.2/ 4.3/ 4.9 CAMPBELL (10)  
:CMPN6MJ 3.9/ 5.0/ 5.6/ 5.8/ 6.7 CAMPBELL (11)  
: CANISTEO RIVER...  
WCRN6 2.7/ 3.2/ 3.5/ 3.7/ 3.7 :WEST CAMERON (17FT)  
:WCRN6MD 3.0/ 3.5/ 3.8/ 4.2/ 4.2 WEST CAMERON (18)  
:WCRN6MJ 3.9/ 4.6/ 5.2/ 5.7/ 5.7 WEST CAMERON (21)  
: TOWANDA CREEK...  
MONP1 2.7/ 2.7/ 2.8/ 3.2/ 4.1 :MONROETON (15.5FT)  
:MONP1MD 3.1/ 3.2/ 3.3/ 3.8/ 4.9 MONROETON (17)  
:MONP1MJ 3.8/ 3.9/ 4.0/ 4.8/ 6.3 MONROETON (18.5)  
: TUNKHANNOCK CREEK...  
TNKP1 1.6/ 1.9/ 2.5/ 2.8/ 3.6 :TUNKHANNOCK (11FT)  
:TNKP1MD 2.1/ 2.7/ 3.3/ 3.9/ 5.0 TUNKHANNOCK (14)  
:TNKP1MJ 2.7/ 3.4/ 4.3/ 5.0/ 6.6 TUNKHANNOCK (17)  
: LACKAWANNA RIVER...  
OFRP1 3.4/ 3.9/ 4.4/ 4.7/ 5.5 :OLD FORGE (11FT)  
:OFRP1MD 4.1/ 4.7/ 5.2/ 5.6/ 6.6 OLD FORGE (13)  
:OFRP1MJ 5.0/ 5.7/ 6.5/ 7.0/ 8.4 OLD FORGE (16)  
: DELAWARE BASIN...  
: EAST BRANCH DELAWARE RIVER...  
MRGN6 2.8/ 3.1/ 3.6/ 4.1/ 4.8 :MARGARETVILLE (11FT)  
:MRGN6MD 3.4/ 3.8/ 4.5/ 5.3/ 6.3 MARGARETVILLE (12)  
:MRGN6MJ 4.1/ 4.7/ 5.7/ 6.6/ 8.1 MARGARETVILLE (13)  
: WEST BRANCH DELAWARE RIVER...  
WALN6 1.7/ 1.9/ 1.9/ 1.9/ 2.1 :WALTON (9.5FT)  
:WALN6MD 3.2/ 3.5/ 3.6/ 3.7/ 4.2 WALTON (14)  
:WALN6MJ 4.6/ 5.1/ 5.2/ 5.4/ 6.3 WALTON (16)  
: BEAVERKILL CREEK...  
CKFN6 1.9/ 2.3/ 2.9/ 3.3/ 4.0 :COOKS FALLS (10FT)  
:CKFN6MD 3.7/ 4.9/ 6.2/ 7.5/ 8.4 COOKS FALLS (16)  
:CKFN6MJ 4.5/ 6.1/ 7.4/ 8.0/ 8.4 COOKS FALLS (18)  
: LACKAWAXEN RIVER...  
HWYP1 4.6/ 5.3/ 5.6/ 5.8/ 6.0 :HAWLEY (14FT)  
:HWYP1MD 6.5/ 7.0/ 7.4/ 8.0/ 8.4 HAWLEY (20)  
:HWYP1MJ 6.5/ 7.0/ 7.4/ 8.0/ 8.4 HAWLEY (22)  
:  
: NWS STATE COLLEGE SERVICE AREA...  
: SUSQUEHANNA BASIN...  
: TIOGA RIVER...  
MFDP1 3.2/ 3.3/ 3.6/ 4.2/ 5.5 :MANSFIELD (12FT)  
:MFDP1MD 3.6/ 3.8/ 4.1/ 4.9/ 6.5 MANSFIELD (13)  
:MFDP1MJ 4.2/ 4.5/ 4.8/ 5.9/ 7.9 MANSFIELD (14)  
: PENNS CREEK...  
PNCP1 2.4/ 2.8/ 3.1/ 3.4/ 3.6 :PENNS CREEK (8FT)  
:PNCP1MD 3.0/ 3.6/ 4.0/ 4.3/ 4.6 PENNS CREEK (10)  
:PNCP1MJ 3.9/ 4.7/ 5.2/ 5.7/ 6.2 PENNS CREEK (12)  
: FRANKSTOWN BRANCH JUNIATA RIVER...  
WIBP1 1.6/ 1.8/ 2.2/ 2.4/ 2.9 :WILLIAMSBURG (12FT)  
:WIBP1MD 1.8/ 2.0/ 2.5/ 2.7/ 3.2 WILLIAMSBURG (13)  
:WIBP1MJ 2.2/ 2.5/ 3.0/ 3.3/ 4.0 WILLIAMSBURG (15)  
: LITTLE JUNIATA RIVER...  
SPKP1 1.4/ 1.6/ 2.0/ 2.3/ 2.8 :SPRUCE CREEK (8FT)  
:SPKP1MD 1.9/ 2.2/ 2.7/ 3.1/ 3.9 SPRUCE CREEK (10)  
:SPKP1MJ 3.0/ 3.5/ 4.4/ 5.1/ 6.7 SPRUCE CREEK (14)  
: AUGHWICK CREEK...  
SLYP1 2.1/ 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.4/ 2.8 :SHIRLEYSBURG (10FT)  
:SLYP1MD 2.8/ 2.8/ 2.9/ 3.1/ 3.7 SHIRLEYSBURG (12)  
:SLYP1MJ 6.5/ 7.0/ 7.4/ 8.0/ 8.4 SHIRLEYSBURG (20)  
: SHERMAN CREEK...  
SMDP1 2.7/ 2.9/ 3.2/ 3.3/ 4.0 :SHERMANS DALE (9FT)  
:SMDP1MD 3.3/ 3.6/ 4.0/ 4.1/ 5.0 SHERMANS DALE (11)  
:SMDP1MJ 5.3/ 5.8/ 6.6/ 6.9/ 8.4 SHERMANS DALE (16)  
: CONODOGUINET CREEK...  
HGSP1 3.6/ 3.6/ 3.6/ 3.6/ 3.8 :HOGESTOWN (8FT)  
:HGSP1MD 4.6/ 4.6/ 4.6/ 4.7/ 4.9 HOGESTOWN (10)  
:HGSP1MJ 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.9/ 6.0/ 6.3 HOGESTOWN (12)  
: YELLOW BREECHES CREEK...  
CPHP1 3.7/ 3.8/ 3.8/ 3.9/ 4.3 :CAMP HILL (7FT)  
:CPHP1MD 4.5/ 4.6/ 4.6/ 4.7/ 5.2 CAMP HILL (9)  
:CPHP1MJ 6.5/ 6.9/ 7.0/ 7.2/ 8.1 CAMP HILL (13)  
: SWATARA CREEK...  
HTVP1 2.8/ 2.9/ 3.0/ 3.2/ 3.5 :HARPER TAVERN (9FT)  
:HTVP1MD 3.7/ 3.8/ 4.0/ 4.3/ 4.7 HARPER TAVERN (12)  
:HTVP1MJ 4.8/ 4.9/ 5.1/ 5.5/ 6.1 HARPER TAVERN (15)  
: CONESTOGA RIVER...  
LNCP1 3.0/ 3.1/ 3.3/ 3.6/ 4.1 :LANCASTER (11FT)  
:LNCP1MD 3.8/ 4.0/ 4.2/ 4.5/ 5.2 LANCASTER (13)  
:LNCP1MJ 4.5/ 4.7/ 5.0/ 5.4/ 6.3 LANCASTER (15)  
: DELAWARE BASIN...  
: SCHUYLKILL RIVER...  
LGVP1 2.5/ 2.6/ 2.7/ 2.8/ 3.2 :LANDINGVILLE (8FT)  
:LGVP1MD 3.2/ 3.5/ 3.7/ 4.1/ 4.9 LANDINGVILLE (12)  
:LGVP1MJ 4.0/ 4.4/ 4.7/ 5.2/ 6.2 LANDINGVILLE (14)  
:  
: NWS MT. HOLLY SERVICE AREA...  
: DELAWARE BASIN...  
: SCHUYLKILL RIVER...  
BREP1 4.0/ 4.3/ 4.9/ 5.4/ 6.2 :BERNE (12FT)  
:BREP1MD 5.1/ 5.4/ 6.2/ 6.8/ 7.9 BERNE (14)  
:BREP1MJ 6.1/ 6.5/ 7.4/ 8.0/ 8.4 BERNE (16)  
: BUSH KILL...  
SHOP1 4.0/ 4.3/ 4.4/ 4.5/ 4.7 :SHOEMAKERS (6FT)  
:SHOP1MD 4.7/ 5.1/ 5.2/ 5.4/ 5.7 SHOEMAKERS (7)  
:SHOP1MJ 5.5/ 6.0/ 6.2/ 6.3/ 6.8 SHOEMAKERS (8)  
: BRODHEAD CREEK...  
MNSP1 3.8/ 4.4/ 5.3/ 5.6/ 6.4 :MINISINK HILLS(10FT)  
:MNSP1MD 4.5/ 5.2/ 6.3/ 6.6/ 7.8 MINISINK HILLS(12)  
:MNSP1MJ 5.6/ 6.5/ 7.4/ 8.0/ 8.4 MINISINK HILLS(15)  
: LITTLE LEHIGH CREEK...  
APAP1 3.2/ 3.5/ 4.0/ 4.9/ 6.0 :ALLENTOWN-10TH (8FT)  
:APAP1MD 4.2/ 4.6/ 5.2/ 6.4/ 8.3 ALLENTOWN-10TH (10)  
:APAP1MJ 5.2/ 5.7/ 6.6/ 8.0/ 8.4 ALLENTOWN-10TH (12)  
: PERKIOMEN CREEK...  
GRAP1 2.2/ 2.7/ 2.9/ 3.6/ 4.5 :GRATERFORD (11FT)  
:GRAP1MD 2.5/ 3.2/ 3.4/ 4.2/ 5.4 GRATERFORD (13)  
:GRAP1MJ 3.2/ 4.0/ 4.3/ 5.4/ 7.2 GRATERFORD (16)  
: NESHAMINY CREEK...  
LNGP1 1.9/ 2.3/ 2.4/ 2.7/ 3.6 :LANGHORNE (9FT)  
:LNGP1MD 2.5/ 3.0/ 3.1/ 3.6/ 4.7 LANGHORNE (10)  
:LNGP1MJ 2.9/ 3.5/ 3.6/ 4.1/ 5.6 LANGHORNE (12)  
: CHESTER CREEK...  
CHSP1 2.0/ 2.1/ 2.3/ 3.0/ 4.2 :CHESTER (8FT)  
:CHSP1MD 2.5/ 2.6/ 3.0/ 3.8/ 5.4 CHESTER (10)  
:CHSP1MJ 3.5/ 3.6/ 4.1/ 5.1/ 7.8 CHESTER (14)  
: WEST BRANCH BRANDYWINE CREEK...  
MODP1 4.6/ 4.8/ 5.2/ 5.4/ 6.8 :MODENA (9FT)  
:MODP1MD 5.2/ 5.4/ 5.9/ 6.2/ 7.9 MODENA (10)  
:MODP1MJ 6.5/ 7.0/ 7.4/ 8.0/ 8.4 MODENA (12)  
: EAST BRANCH BRANDYWINE CREEK...  
DWNP1 1.8/ 1.8/ 1.9/ 2.1/ 2.7 :DOWNINGTOWN (7FT)  
:DWNP1MD 2.7/ 2.7/ 2.8/ 3.1/ 4.0 DOWNINGTOWN (9)  
:DWNP1MJ 3.6/ 3.7/ 3.9/ 4.2/ 5.5 DOWNINGTOWN (11)  
: BRANDYWINE CREEK...  
CDFP1 1.8/ 2.3/ 2.7/ 2.9/ 3.7 :CHADDS FORD (9FT)  
:CDFP1MD 2.2/ 3.0/ 3.5/ 3.7/ 4.7 CHADDS FORD (11)  
:CDFP1MJ 2.7/ 3.6/ 4.3/ 4.5/ 5.6 CHADDS FORD (13)  
: CHRISTINA RIVER...  
CHBD1 1.6/ 1.7/ 2.0/ 2.9/ 4.5 :COOCHS BRDG(11FT)  
:CHBD1MD 1.9/ 2.1/ 2.5/ 3.6/ 5.6 COOCHS BRDG(12)  
:CHBD1MJ 2.6/ 2.8/ 3.3/ 4.7/ 7.7 COOCHS BRDG(13)  
: WHITE CLAY CREEK...  
DPKD1 1.8/ 1.9/ 2.1/ 2.7/ 4.0 :DELAWARE PK (13FT)  
:DPKD1MD 2.5/ 2.7/ 2.9/ 3.7/ 5.4 DELAWARE PK (15)  
:DPKD1MJ 3.7/ 3.9/ 4.2/ 5.3/ 8.4 DELAWARE PK (16.5)  
: RED CLAY CREEK...  
RCCD1 2.1/ 2.3/ 2.6/ 3.1/ 4.3 :WOODDALE (7FT)  
:RCCD1MD 2.8/ 3.1/ 3.5/ 4.1/ 5.9 WOODDALE (8.5)  
:RCCD1MJ 3.6/ 3.9/ 4.3/ 5.2/ 7.7 WOODDALE (10)  
.END  
 
UPPER DELAWARE BASIN WATER SUPPLY GUIDANCE  
 
APPROXIMATE RUNOFF (IN MILLIONS OF GALLONS) PRODUCED FROM EACH OF  
THE FOLLOWING 6-HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS (IN INCHES)...  
 
.BR RHA 20241202 Z DH12/DC2412021350/DUE/QMXC1/QMXC2/QMXC3  
.B1 /QMXC4/QMXC5/QMXC6  
: RAINFALL  
:IDENT 0.1 0.5 1.0 2.0 3.0 5.0 LOCATION  
:======= ===== ====== ====== ====== ======= ======= ================  
CANN6DEL 127/ 810/ 1955/ 5265/ 9819/ 21724 :CANNONSVILLE-456SQMI  
DWNN6DEL 80/ 599/ 1501/ 4223/ 8081/ 18204 :PEPACTON-372SQMI  
LKWP1WPK 44/ 43/ 43/ 43/ 43/ 43 :WALLENPAUPACK-228SQM  
NVRN6NVR 11/ 82/ 216/ 640/ 1288/ 3170 :NEVERSINK-93SQMI  
.END  
 
:===============================================================  
: EXPERIMENTAL NON-FCST POINT RAW MODEL OUTPUT  
: NO MANUAL QC OR ADJUSTMENTS APPLIED...USE WITH CAUTION  
:===============================================================  
:  
: NWS BINGHAMTON SERVICE AREA...  
.B RHA 241202 Z DH12/DC2412021333/DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF/PPKCF/PPDCF  
:GAGEID 1HR 3HR 6HR 12HR RAINFALL FOR INDICATED STAGES  
: LACKAWANNA RIVER...  
ARHP1 2.8/ 2.9/ 3.2/ 3.9/ 5.5 :ARCHBALD (8FT)  
:ARHP1MD 3.4/ 3.5/ 3.9/ 4.8/ 6.9 ARCHBALD (9)  
:ARHP1MJ 4.0/ 4.1/ 4.6/ 5.8/ 8.4 ARCHBALD (10)  
PKIP1 2.2/ 2.3/ 2.4/ 2.7/ 3.5 :SCRANTON (7.5FT.)  
:PKIP1MD 2.4/ 2.4/ 2.6/ 2.9/ 3.8 SCRANTON (8)  
:PKIP1MJ 2.8/ 2.9/ 3.0/ 3.4/ 4.4 SCRANTON (9.5)  
.END  
: MODEL-SIMULATED 3-HOURLY STAGE FORECASTS INCLUDING QPF...  
.E ARHP1 20241202 DC2412021350/DH15/HGIFX/DIH3/  
.E1 2.4/2.3/2.3/2.3/2.3/2.3/2.3/2.3  
.E PKIP1 20241202 DC2412021350/DH15/HGIFX/DIH3/  
.E1 1.7/1.8/1.8/1.8/1.8/1.8/1.7/1.7  
 
NNNN  
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