080
FXUS61 KRNK 270606
AFDRNK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
206 AM EDT SUN APR 27 2025
SYNOPSIS
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION, BRINGING DRIER
AIR AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE NEXT CHANCE
FOR RAIN IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
AS OF 200 AM EDT SUNDAY...
KEY MESSAGE:
1) DRY AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.
SOME UPSLOPE CLOUDS REMAIN ACROSS THE WESTERN MOUNTAINS THIS
MORNING, BUT THESE WILL CONTINUE TO TAPER OFF THROUGH DAYBREAK.
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES EXPECTED AS BROAD SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN OVERHEAD TODAY. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE
THROUGH THE MORNING AS WELL, AND SHOULD BE LIGHT THROUGHOUT THE
DAY TODAY.
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVERHEAD TONIGHT AND WINDS WILL BE LIGHT
TO CALM. TONIGHT WILL BE THE COLDEST NIGHT THIS WEEK AND COULD
SEE AREAS BOTTOM OUT IN THE UPPER 30S ACROSS THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS. CLEAR SKIES, CALM WINDS COULD RESULT IN A FEW AREAS
OF FROST LATE TONIGHT.
SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
AS OF 230 PM EDT SATURDAY...
KEY MESSAGES:
1) DRY WEATHER WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
2) A FEW SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
DRY WEATHER WITH SLIGHTLY BELOW-NORMAL TEMPERATURES IS EXPECTED
SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING AS COOL HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS
FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO PASS OFFSHORE OF THE CAROLINAS. WINDS WILL
SHIFT MORE FROM THE SOUTH ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON, AND MAY SEE A FEW
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP WITH DAYTIME HEATING,
MAINLY ALONG THE RIDGES. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL LINGER INTO
LATE EVENING AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
AS OF 230 PM EDT SATURDAY...
KEY MESSAGES:
1) DAILY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS DURING EACH
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
2) A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
3) TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE ABOVE NORMAL FOR LATE APRIL INTO
EARLY MAY THROUGH THE PERIOD.
MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO POOL ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC AS A COLD
FRONT DRIFTS SLOWLY SOUTHWARD FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION, THOUGH
UNCERTAINTY REMAINS AS TO HOW FAR SOUTH IT WILL PROGRESS DURING
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. REGARDLESS, CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING THAT
RAINFALL DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE COMING WORKWEEK WILL BE IN
THE FORM OF PASSING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT FORM IN EARLY
AFTERNOON, DRIVEN BY DAYTIME HEATING. COVERAGE WILL BE HIGHEST
ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS DURING THE AFTERNOONS EACH DAY, WITH ACTIVITY
THEN SPREADING TO THE PIEDMONT DURING EACH LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING. COVERAGE IS MOST LIKELY TO BE HIT-AND-MISS, WITH NOT ALL
LOCATIONS RECEIVING RAINFALL. A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG, AND
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ANY COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS, HAIL AND
LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS, BUT DO NOT SEE ANY ATMOSPHERIC FEATURES
THAT WOULD SUPPORT WIDESPREAD SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY DURING
THIS PERIOD.
AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
AS OF 200 AM EDT SUNDAY...
AREAS OF MVFR STRATUS STILL REMAIN ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS, BUT
THIS SHOULD CONTINUE TO IMPROVE THROUGH DAYBREAK. A RETURN TO
WIDESPREAD VFR BY LATE THIS MORNING AS CLOUDS DECREASE AND HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS OVERHEAD. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE AS
WELL AND WILL BE LIGHT THROUGH THE DAYLIGHT HOURS. WINDS LIGHT
TO CALM OVERNIGHT.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC. THE NEXT CHANCE OF SUB-
VFR CONDITIONS WILL BE MID-NEXT WEEK WHEN ANOTHER FRONTAL SYSTEM IS
SET TO ARRIVE.
RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
VA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
WV...NONE.
SYNOPSIS...BMG
NEAR TERM...BMG
SHORT TERM...NF
LONG TERM...NF
AVIATION...BMG
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