811
FNUS71 KRNK 071052
FWSRNK
SPOT FORECAST FOR FAIRY STONE STATE PARK UNIT 2...VIRGINIA DCR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
652 AM EDT WED MAY 7 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MAY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
FAIR WEATHER EXPECTED TODAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL.
NEAR CALM WIND THIS MORNING IS EXPECTED TO BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY THIS
AFTERNOON WITH SPEEDS UNDER 10 MPH. UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS WILL BE
ON THE INCREASE, GRADUALLY DIMMING THE SUN WITH TIME DURING THE
AFTERNOON, BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY AFTER 1500. NEXT CHANCE OF
RAIN IS THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THIS MORNING, THEN INCREASING CLOUDS THIS AFTERNOON.
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (12900 KNOT-FT) THIS MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (33000 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................19 TO 46.
TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........30 40 46 56 65 70 80
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............70 72 74 76 77 77 77
RH..............44 41 38 37 36 36 36
20 FT WIND DIR..W W SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.4 6 6 7 6 5 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.3 5.4 5.9 6.6 6.9 6.7 5.7
MIXNG WIND DIR..NW NW W W SW SW SW
MIXNG WIND SPD..3 5 5 6 5 3 3
LVORI...........2 2 1 1 1 1 2
ADI.............19 28 37 46 40 30 22
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.15 22 31 38 33 25 20
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-90 PERCENT).
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH BECOMING CALM AFTER
10 PM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (17000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (900 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................1 TO 24.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........80 90 90 80 70 72
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 10 10 10 10
TEMP............75 70 65 63 61 59
RH..............39 50 64 69 72 78
20 FT WIND......SW 3 S 2 SW 2 W 1 W 1 SW 1
20 FT WIND GUST.5 4 2 2 2
MIX HGT (FT)....3500 500 500 500 500 500
MIXING WIND.....SW 6 SW 10 SW 8 SW 5 W 2 W 2
LVORI...........2 2 3 3 3 4
ADI.............24 5 3 2 1 1
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.20 6 4 2 1 1
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........CALM EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SOUTH OR SOUTHEAST 2 TO 6 MPH
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (19900 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................1 TO 29.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM
SKY (%).........60 24 43
WEATHER COV..... S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ S CHC
CWR.............10 10 20
TEMP............58 69 76
RH..............80 61 47
20 FT WIND......W 1G2 N 0G4 SE 2G6
MIX HGT (FT)....500 2400 5200
MIXING WIND.....NW 2 E 3 SE 2
LVORI...........6 2 2
ADI.............1 11 15
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.1 9 12
FORECASTER...MANUEL
REQUESTED BY...REED STANLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2513317.0/RNK
.DELDT 05/07/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL REED.STANLEY@DCR.VIRGINIA.GOV
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