300
FNUS71 KRNK 182157
FWSRNK
SPOT FORECAST FOR BALD MOUNTAIN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
457 PM EST TUE NOV 18 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1730 EST ON NOVEMBER 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (RH) PERCENTAGES WILL BE CONSIDERABLY HIGHER
TOMORROW AFTERNOON (60-70%) COMPARED TO TODAY (30-40%) AS DEW
POINTS INCREASE FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF A WARM FRONT. RAIN IS
STILL LIKELY TONIGHT WITH ABOUT 0.25-0.33" OF RAIN EXPECTED OVER
THE FORECAST SPOT. PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL LIKELY
CONTINUE INTO TOMORROW (WEDNESDAY) DUE TO THE INCREASED MOISTURE
CONTENT. OTHERWISE, WINDS WILL BE ON THE LIGHTER SIDE, STARTING AS
SOUTHERLY WINDS TONIGHT AND EVENTUALLY TRANSITIONING INTO
NORTHWESTERLY BY TOMORROW. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL LIKELY BE NO MORE
THAN 5 MPH WITH SOME ROGUE GUSTS OF UP 10-15 MPH.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN (40 PRECENT).
CWR (0.01 IN).......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2800 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................5.
TIME (EST) 12P
SKY (%).........86
WEATHER COV.....CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RN
TSTM COV........
CWR.............30
TEMP............50
RH..............37
20 FT WIND DIR..SE
20 FT WIND SPD..2
20 FT WIND GUST.8
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5
MIXNG WIND DIR..SE
MIXNG WIND SPD..6
LVORI...........2
ADI.............5
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.3
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). RAIN IN THE
EVENING. RAIN LIKELY OVERNIGHT.
CWR (0.01 IN).......VARYING BETWEEN 10-40 PERCENT IN THE EVENING
THEN INCREASING TO ABOUT 70-90 PERCENT OVERNIGHT
AND THEN DROPPING TOWARDS 10 PERCENT AFTER 3AM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 3 TO 6 MPH THEN SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (800 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................1 TO 2.
TIME (EST) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID
SKY (%).........88 90 89 91 91 92 88 78 79 64 58 52
WEATHER COV.....CHC SCH CHC DEF DEF LKY CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN
TSTM COV........
CWR.............30 10 20 40 90 90 70 40 40 10 0 0
TEMP............48 46 46 46 46 46 46 45 46 46 47 47
RH..............38 41 45 47 52 60 68 78 84 91 89 89
20 FT WIND DIR..SE S S S S S S SW SW W W NW
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 7 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4
MIXNG WIND DIR..SE SE SE S S SE NE N N N NW NW
MIXNG WIND SPD..6 5 5 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 5
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 5 7 7 6
ADI.............2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 1 TO
2 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1000 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................1 TO 17.
TIME (EST) 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P
SKY (%).........47 50 50 48 54 44 42 39 40 41 43 49
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............48 49 50 52 54 57 60 60 61 62 60 58
RH..............86 84 86 82 79 73 67 65 64 61 64 69
20 FT WIND DIR..W W NW NW NW NW NW W NW NW W NW
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 6 10 6 10 10 8 10 8 7 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.3 1.8 0.8
MIXNG WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW W W NW N N NE
MIXNG WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 2 1 1
LVORI...........5 4 5 4 4 3 3 3 2 3 3 3
ADI.............6 6 6 7 11 14 17 17 13 7 3 1
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.2 3 3 6 9 11 13 13 10 5 2 1
FORECASTER...GROVER
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN BORDEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2526052.4/RNK
.DELDT 11/18/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL BRIAN.THEILER@FS.FED,VAVAC@FIRENET.GOV,JSELBY@BLM.GOV
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