099  
FNUS71 KRNK 071032  
FWSRNK  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR NC PARKS INTERAGENCY TRAINING...NORTH CAROLINA STATE PARKS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA  
532 AM EST WED JAN 7 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EST ON JANUARY 07.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
THERE COULD BE SOME PATCHY FOG AT IGNITION TIME, AND THE SURFACE  
INVERSION LOOKS TO MIX OUT AFTER 9-10AM. 20 FOOT WEST WINDS WILL PICK UP  
AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH BY 11AM WITH GUSTS TO 20-25 MPH THROUGH 5PM.  
GOOD MIXING AND SUNSHINE WILL ALLOW THE RH TO BOTTOM OUT IN THE LOW  
30S THIS AFTERNOON.  
 
GOOD RH RECOVERY TONIGHT AS WINDS BECOME CALM/LIGHT. LESS MIXING BUT STILL  
PLENTY OF SUNSHINE THURSDAY. WETTING RAIN ARRIVES BY FRIDAY NIGHT.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.  
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 14 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 24 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 13 TO 20 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (62600 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................5 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 55 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........14 13 12 6 2 3 2 3 4 4  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............50 54 58 61 64 66 68 69 68 64  
RH..............91 81 67 57 48 41 35 32 31 40  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 7 9 10 11 11 10 8 5  
20 FT WIND GUST. 9 21 20 21 19 19 16 11  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 1.0 2.5 3.4 4.3 4.9 5.5 4.8 1.0  
MIXNG WIND DIR..SW SW SW W W W W W W W  
MIXNG WIND SPD..5 5 8 13 15 16 17 16 13 11  
LVORI...........6 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 2  
ADI.............5 5 7 25 32 43 44 55 42 10  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.2 3 6 22 43 64 72 71 50 8  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.  
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
AROUND 3 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1000 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................1 TO 3.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........6 9 7 8 7 8 10 22 22 24 27 25  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............59 55 52 50 49 47 45 44 43 42 41 39  
RH..............47 55 60 64 68 72 76 79 81 83 84 85  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW N N NW NW N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 4 4 4 4 4 4 2 2 2  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
MIXNG WIND DIR..SW SW SW W W W W W NW NW NW N  
MIXNG WIND SPD..6 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3  
LVORI...........2 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 5  
ADI.............3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.3 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.  
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 2 TO 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 3 TO 6  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (700 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............5.  
ADI.................2 TO 14.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........29 20 21 26 30 36 44 51 55 57 60 65  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............38 36 38 43 50 55 58 61 63 64 64 61  
RH..............88 97 90 78 63 53 47 43 40 40 41 47  
20 FT WIND DIR..N E E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 4 4 5 6 6 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.6 2.2 2.1 2.2 2.4 1.7  
MIXNG WIND DIR..N N N N N N NE NE E E E E  
MIXNG WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 5 6 6 5  
LVORI...........6 8 6 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
ADI.............3 2 3 3 4 5 7 10 11 14 12 9  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.1 1 1 1 3 4 5 8 9 12 14 9  
 

 
FORECASTER...PERRY  
REQUESTED BY...JESSE ANDERSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2528481.0/RNK  
.DELDT 01/07/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JESSE.ANDERSON@NCPARKS.GOV  
 
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