403
FNUS71 KRNK 041008
FWSRNK
SPOT FORECAST FOR WORK CENTER ADMIN BURN...USFS/GWJNF/EDRD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
508 AM EST WED FEB 4 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EST ON FEBRUARY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE MID 30S TODAY AND AGAIN THURSDAY,
BEFORE DROPPING BELOW FREEZING TONIGHT. EXPECT CLOUDY SKIES TODAY
AND TONIGHT, WITH CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION TODAY AND TONIGHT. A
MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW IS POSSIBLE TODAY, CHANGING TO ALL SNOW
CHANCES TONIGHT BEFORE PRECIPITATION ENDS TONIGHT. TOMORROW WE
SHOULD SEEN SUNNIER SKIES. MINIMUM RH VALUES DURING THE AFTERNOONS
WE BE AT OR ABOVE 50%.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
IN THE MORNING, THEN SNOW LIKELY AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR (0.01 IN).......20 PERCENT INCREASING TO 70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.
MIN HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 2 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 6 TO 9
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (700 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............8.
ADI.................2 TO 12.
TIME (EST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........92 94 91 90 90 92 94 92 92 95 95
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....SN SN SN SN SN SN SN
TSTM COV........
CWR.............20 10 10 10 10 30 50 60 60 60 70
TEMP............31 31 32 33 34 34 35 34 34 33 32
RH..............100 100 100 98 95 93 89 91 90 90 90
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE E E E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.0
MIXNG WIND DIR..N N NE E E E E E E E E
MIXNG WIND SPD..2 5 6 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 9
LVORI...........10 9 9 8 6 5 5 5 5 5 5
ADI.............2 3 5 6 12 11 11 10 11 11 11
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.1 2 4 6 9 9 9 8 10 9 9
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SNOW LIKELY IN
THE EVENING, THEN CHANCE OF SNOW OVERNIGHT.
CWR (0.01 IN).......60 PERCENT INCREASING TO 70 PERCENT EARLY IN
THE EVENING, DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 21.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 7 TO
8 MPH OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4700 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................3 TO 4.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........94 95 96 93 95 94 91 90 92 82 76 80
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC SCH CHC SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN
TSTM COV........
CWR.............60 60 70 60 50 30 20 30 20 20 10 10
TEMP............31 31 31 30 29 28 28 27 26 25 24 23
RH..............90 90 91 90 91 94 91 92 91 94 94 94
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E NE NE NE NE NE N N NW
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8
MIXNG WIND DIR..E E E E NE NE NE NE N N N N
MIXNG WIND SPD..9 9 9 9 9 8 8 7 7 8 8 8
LVORI...........6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
ADI.............4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 4 4
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.8 9 8 8 8 5 6 7 6 7 6 7
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 8 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (19200 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................6 TO 28.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........68 50 44 40 36 29 23 16 19 23 26 37
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............22 22 22 23 25 27 29 31 33 33 33 31
RH..............93 88 89 85 80 72 65 60 55 52 52 54
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 4
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 7 8 8 10 10 10 10 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.8 0.6 1.0 1.4 1.7 2.0 2.3 2.2 2.1 1.9 1.5
MIXNG WIND DIR..N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
MIXNG WIND SPD..8 8 8 9 9 9 8 8 9 10 12 14
LVORI...........6 5 5 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2
ADI.............6 9 9 12 17 19 21 24 24 26 28 26
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.6 7 5 9 13 16 16 19 20 21 22 21
FORECASTER...HANES
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN THEILER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2601599.0/RNK
.DELDT 02/04/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL BRIAN.THEILER@USDA.GOV,BETH.CHRISTIANSEN@USDA.GOV,WILLIAM.BRIMM@USDA.GOV,ROBERT.CLAYTOR@USDA.GOV
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