207
FXUS61 KRNK 231812
AFDRNK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
212 PM EDT WED SEP 23 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
INCREASING CONFIDENCE IN DRY AND MILDER WEATHER FRIDAY THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION UPDATED.
KEY MESSAGES
1) RAIN SHOWERS, DRIZZLE, AND COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE
INTO THURSDAY. DRIER AND MORE SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES RETURN FOR
THE WEEKEND AND PERSIST INTO NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: RAIN SHOWERS, DRIZZLE, AND COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY. DRIER AND MORE SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES
RETURN FOR THE WEEKEND AND PERSIST INTO NEXT WEEK.
COOL WEDGING PATTERN CONTINUES INTO THURSDAY, FEATURING AREAS OF
LIGHT RAIN, DRIZZLE, AND PATCHY FOG. COOL, BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S WILL ALSO PERSIST INTO THURSDAY. RAIN
RATES TODAY SHOULD BE LIGHT ENOUGH TO PREVENT ANY FLOODING
CONCERNS...IN REALITY, RAIN TODAY WILL BE BENEFICIAL. COVERAGE
OF RAIN WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING, BUT CLOUDS
SHOULD REMAIN MOST OF THE DAY.
WILL BEGIN TO TRANSITION TO DRIER WEATHER ON FRIDAY AS FLOW
TURNS MORE NORTHWESTERLY AND A DRIER AIRMASS FILTERS INTO THE
REGION. THIS WILL FEATURE FALL- LIKE, CLOSE TO NORMAL
TEMPERATURES INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. A FEW MORNINGS COULD FEATURE
LOW 40S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND PERHAPS A FEW UPPER 30S IN
SHELTERED VALLEYS.
AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
WIDELY VARIABLE FLIGHT CATEGORIES THIS AFTERNOON. MVFR TO LIFR
ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION AS A COOL AND CLOUDY AIRMASS REMAINS
IN PLACE. LOW CLOUDS AND PERIODS OF RAIN WILL CONTINUE INTO THE
OVERNIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY MORNING. THIS WILL KEEP TERMINALS
SUB-VFR, ESPECIALLY OVERNIGHT WHEN CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO LOWER
ONCE AGAIN. AREAS OF PATCHY FOG AS WELL, WHICH WILL RESULT IN
LESSENED VSBY AT TIMES, ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS. LITTLE
TO NO IMPROVEMENT EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF THE VALID 24HR TAF
PERIOD.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
CONDITIONS WILL SLOWLY IMPROVE TO VFR LATE THURSDAY. VFR WILL
PERSIST INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. SLIGHT POTENTIAL FOR SOME MORNING
VALLEY FOG THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
VA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
WV...NONE.
DISCUSSION...BMG
AVIATION...BMG
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