889
FXUS61 KRNK 240636
AFDRNK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
236 AM EDT THU SEP 24 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
FORECAST DISCUSSION UPDATED.
AVIATION DISCUSSION UPDATED.
KEY MESSAGES
1) DRIER AND COOLER WEATHER FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: DRIER AND COOLER WEATHER FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
RAIN SHOWERS WILL PERSIST THIS MORNING FOR THE WESTERN HALF OF THE
FORECAST AREA AS A MID-LEVEL TROUGH SQUEEZES THROUGH TWO MID-LEVEL
HIGHS TO ITS NORTH AND SOUTHWEST. THE SYSTEM LOOKS TO BE TO OUR
SOUTH BY 15Z AND PRECIPITATION CHANCES ARE PROJECTED TO TANK BY
THEN. CLOUD COVER WILL STILL BE EXTENSIVE BUT WILL GRADUALLY CLEAR
OUT BY THURSDAY NIGHT.
THE MID-LEVEL TROUGH WILL INTENSIFY AND BECOME A NOR'EASTER AS IT
HEADS INTO THE ATLANTIC AND SLOWLY MAKE ITS WAY NORTHEAST. WITH A
500MB RIDGE OVER THE TEXAS/LOUISIANA BORDER, THE WIND PROFILE WILL
BE NORTHERLY FOR OUR REGION AND COLDER AND DRIER CONDITIONS WILL
ARRIVE. THOUGH THERE WILL BE SOME WIND, THE CLEAR SKIES MAY
ALLOW SOME LARGE TEMPERATURE RANGES. EARLY MORNING LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S ARE POSSIBLE WEST OF THE BLUE RIDGE
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY MORNING. HIGHS DURING THESE DAYS WILL BE IN
THE UPPER 60S TO MID-70S WEST OF THE BLUE RIDGE AND IN THE UPPER
70S TO LOWER 80S EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE. DEW POINTS FOR THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WILL DWELL IN THE 40S AND 50S. THE NOR'EASTER
IS NOT EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE AREA AND WILL PROGRESSES FURTHER
NORTHEAST BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. AROUND THE SAME TIME, THE RIDGE TO
OUR SOUTHWEST MOVES TOWARDS MEXICO. THIS TRANSITIONS THE WIND
DIRECTION TO A MORE WESTERLY PATTERN AND ALLOWS TEMPERATURES TO
GRADUALLY WARM UP AGAIN BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
AN ASSORTMENT OF DIFFERENT SKY CONDITIONS IS IN STORE FOR ALL
TERMINALS FOR THE REST OF THURSDAY. RAIN AND MIST/FOG WILL KEEP MOST
OF THE TERMINALS (ESPECIALLY AT KBCB, KLWB, AND KBLF) IN LIFR/IFR
TERRITORY WHILE KDAN AND KLYH STAY RELATIVELY DRY. AS THE SHOWER
SYSTEM PROGRESSES SOUTHEASTWARD IT MAY AFFECT KROA BEFORE SUNRISE.
BY AROUND 15Z, THE RAIN SHOULD BE TO OUR SOUTH, CLOUDS WILL LIFT,
AND ALL AIRPORTS WILL RETURN TO VFR STATUS. THE SKIES WILL ALSO
BEGIN TO TRANSITION FROM BROKEN TO SCATTERED BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON
AND MAY BE CLEAR BY THURSDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BLOW FROM
THE NORTHEAST AND GUST BETWEEN 15-20 KNOTS AT TIMES.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
FOLLOWING THURSDAY'S RAIN, THE WEATHER BECOMES VERY QUIET AND SKIES
BECOME CLEAR FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. VFR SKIES ARE LIKELY FOR ALL
TERMINALS FROM FRIDAY INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THERE STILL MAY
BE SOME EARLY MORNING FOG DUE TO THE CLEAR SKIES BUT WIND DIRECTION
AND STRENGTH WILL VARY AND MAY HINDER ITS DEVELOPMENT. WINDS THROUGH
THIS WEEKEND WILL SHIFT FROM THE NORTHEAST TO NORTH AND MAY GUST
BETWEEN 15-20 KNOTS AT ALL THE TERMINALS.
RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
VA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
WV...NONE.
DISCUSSION...CG
AVIATION...CG
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