229
FXUS61 KRNK 251735
AFDRNK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
135 PM EDT FRI SEP 25 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
HAVE ADDED ADDITIONAL CLOUD COVER AND A CHANCE OF ISOLATED
SHOWERS ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY, WHICH ARE ASSOCIATED FROM THE
STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD.
KEY MESSAGES
1) DRIER WEATHER, FEATURING COOL OVERNIGHTS AND WARM
AFTERNOONS.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: DRIER WEATHER, FEATURING COOL OVERNIGHTS AND
WARM AFTERNOONS.
CLEAR SKIES THIS AFTERNOON WILL PERSIST INTO SATURDAY WITH A
MUCH DRIER AIRMASS NOW IN PLACE OVER THE REGION. STRONG SURFACE
LOW OVER THE ATLANTIC WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN AND MOVE
NORTH THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. MODEL GUIDANCE DOES INDICATE THAT
THE LOW MAY RETROGRADE WEST ON SUNDAY AND STALL ALONG THE NEW
JERSEY COAST THROUGH MONDAY. THIS APPEARS TO BE CLOSE ENOUGH
TO BRING SOME CLOUDINESS TO THE FORECAST AREA ON SUNDAY AND
MONDAY. HAVE ALSO ADDED A MENTION OF SHOWERS ALONG THE I64
CORRIDOR GIVEN ENOUGH GUIDANCE SHOWING SOME POTENTIAL FOR
SHOWERS TO REACH THE AREA.
LOW PRESSURE WILL LIFT NORTH AND WEAKEN BY TUESDAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE THEN BEGINS TO BUILD OVER THE EASTERN CONUS. SHOULD SEE
INCREASINGLY WARMER TEMPERATURES THROUGH NEXT WEEK GIVEN
INCREASING HEIGHTS AND RETURN FLOW. OTHER THAN SOME ISOLATED
SHOWERS SUN/MON, DRY CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH AT
LEAST THURSDAY NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
VFR EXPECTED FOR THE 24HR TAF PERIOD. SOME AREAS OF PATCHY DENSE
FOG ACROSS FAVORED MOUNTAIN RIVER VALLEYS AROUND DAYBREAK...LWB
LIKELY TO BE IMPACTED AGAIN.
NORTHERLY WINDS MAY GUST TO AROUND 20KTS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON,
BECOMING CALM AGAIN TONIGHT. WINDS INCREASE AGAIN BY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON, WITH A FEW GUSTS NEARING 20KTS EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN WIDESPREAD VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH NEXT WEEK,
OUTSIDE OF A DAILY CHANCE OF PATCHY RIVER VALLEY FOG AROUND
SUNRISE.
RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
VA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
WV...NONE.
DISCUSSION...BMG
AVIATION...BMG
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