646
FXUS61 KRNK 270654
AFDRNK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
254 AM EDT SUN SEP 27 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
AVIATION UPDATED.
CLOUD COVER AND POPS WERE INCREASED FOR AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF
I-64. WRAP AROUND MOISTURE LOOKS TO BRING ISOLATED CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING TO THESE AREAS.
KEY MESSAGES
1) QUIET WEATHER THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK. ISOLATED SHOWER
CHANCES WILL PERSIST FOR AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF THE I-64
CORRIDOR FROM THE NOR'EASTER AND ITS WRAP AROUND MOISTURE.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: QUIET WEATHER THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK. ISOLATED SHOWER
CHANCES WILL PERSIST FOR AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF THE I-64
CORRIDOR FROM THE NOR'EASTER AND ITS WRAP AROUND MOISTURE.
THE NOR'EASTER OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST LOOKS TO PUSH SLIGHTLY
SOUTHWEST THROUGH SUNDAY. AS THIS HAPPENS, SOME WRAP AROUND
MOISTURE AND CLOUD COVER MAY MOVE INTO THE AREA, ESPECIALLY FOR
AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF I-64. OVERALL, THE IMPACTS FROM THIS
SYSTEM WILL REMAIN MINIMAL FOR THE REGION. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS
WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN IN THE 15-25 MPH RANGE THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON, WITH DIMINISHING WINDS THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY MORNING EXPECTED.
BY TUESDAY, THE NOR'EASTER AND ITS ASSOCIATED UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
FINALLY LIFT NORTH AND EAST OF THE REGION, WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR
500MB HEIGHTS AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGING TO BUILD BACK INTO THE
REGION. THIS WILL RETURN DAYTIME HIGHS BACK INTO THE UPPER 70S
TO LOW 80S FOR MOUNTAIN LOCATIONS, AND UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S FOR
PIEDMONT LOCATIONS STARTING WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE
END OF THE WORK WEEK. WHILE TEMPERATURES WILL SURGE TO ABOVE
NORMAL VALUES AGAIN, DEWPOINTS LOOK TO REMAIN IN THE 40S/50S
WHICH WILL MAKE THE AIRMASS FEEL MUCH MORE TOLERABLE.
A POSSIBLE FRONTAL PASSAGE LATE ON FRIDAY LOOKS TO MODERATE
TEMPERATURES BACK TO NEAR NORMAL TO START THE WEEKEND, AND
RETURN WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TO THE AREA.
AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH
THE FORECAST PERIOD. UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS LOOK TO PUSH SOUTHWEST
FROM NORTHERN VIRGINIA OVERNIGHT AND AGAIN ON SUNDAY. THESE
CLOUDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO LEAD TO ANY RESTRICTIONS AT THIS
TIME. THERE MAY BE SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS AT LYH AND LWB FROM
THESE CLOUDS THAT MOVE OVER THE AREA; HOWEVER, CHANCES REMAIN
MINIMAL.
THE BIGGEST IMPACT TO TERMINALS THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WILL BE
GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AT AROUND 10-15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 25
KNOTS AT TIMES THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. GUSTS LOOK TO BE
HIGHEST AT MOUNTAIN TERMINALS.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MID-WEEK. NIGHTLY CHANCES
OF SOME RIVER/MOUNTAIN VALLEY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY
ON CALM AND CLEAR NIGHTS, WITH ANY SUB- VFR CONDITIONS
IMPROVING RAPIDLY AFTER SUNRISE.
RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
VA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
WV...NONE.
DISCUSSION...EB
AVIATION...EB
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