719
FXUS61 KRNK 120537 CCA
AFDRNK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
137 AM EDT MON OCT 12 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
KEPT POPS ELEVATED ALONG WESTERN SLOPES THIS MORNING WITH SOME
FOG.
AVIATION UPDATED.
KEY MESSAGES
1) SHOWER CHANCES NOW MAINLY CONFINED TO THE WESTERN SLOPES.
2) DRY WEATHER INTO MIDWEEK WITH TEMPS ABOVE NORMAL.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: SHOWER CHANCES NOW MAINLY CONFINED TO THE WESTERN
SLOPES.
INCREASED NORTHWEST FLOW WILL KEEP LOW CLOUDS AND SCATTERED
SHOWERS AROUND INTO MONDAY IN THE WESTERN SLOPES OF WV INTO
PORTION OF SW VA/NW NC BUT SHOULD TAPER OFF GOING TOWARD MIDDAY.
HOWEVER VERY WELL COULD SEE UPSLOPE CLOUDS LINGER INTO MONDAY
AFTERNOON. A 40KT+ 8H JET WILL KEEP IT GUSTY TODAY ESPECIALLY
THE MOUNTAINS, WITH WINDS FALLING OFF BY EVENING.
KEY MESSAGE 2...DRY WEATHER INTO MIDWEEK WITH TEMPS ABOVE
NORMAL.
KEEPING IT DRY INTO MIDWEEK AND EVEN LATE WEEK LOOKS LIKE
SHOWERS MAY BE JUST CONFINED TO THE MOUNTAINS. RIDGE BUILDS AS
DOES TEMPS TO ABOVE NORMAL. PATTERN CHANGE NEXT WEEKEND WITH
DEEPER TROUGH AND COOL CANADIAN HIGH MOVING IN. COULD BE FAIRLY
BRISK SATURDAY.
AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
NOTE: AMD NOT SKED FOR KLWB DUE TO COMMS OUTAGE
LIGHT SHOWERS MAY IMPACT LWB/BLF THIS MORNING BUT
EXPECT IFR OR LOWER HERE THROUGH MID MORNING WITH BLF POTENTIALLY
HAVING LIFR FOG WITH THE LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE CLOUDS. FURTHER EAST,
CONFIDENCE IS HIGHER THAT IT SHOULD REMAIN VFR, DESPITE THE MOIST
GROUND, SHOULD BE ENOUGH MIXING OVERALL TO KEEP ANY SUB-VFR FOG AT
BAY, SO HAVE CHANGED THAT FORECAST FOR LYH/DAN FROM THE PREVIOUS.
WINDS SHOULD PICK UP MORE-SO AFTER 13Z WITH GUSTS 20-25KTS
LIKELY. ALL SITES SHOULD BE VFR BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
WINDS SUBSIDE BY 00Z/TUE.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
MAINLY VFR THROUGH THE WEEK THOUGH CANNOT RULE OUT LATE NIGHT
FOG TUESDAY MORNING IN THE MOUNTAINS AS WINDS DROP TO CALM. A
FRONTAL SYSTEM MAY BRING SHOWERS TO THE MOUNTAINS LATE IN THE
WEEK WITH POTENTIAL MVFR CIGS.
RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
VA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
WV...NONE.
DISCUSSION...WP
AVIATION...WP
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page