303
FXUS61 KRNK 121052
AFDRNK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
652 AM EDT MON OCT 12 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
AVIATION UPDATED.
KEY MESSAGES
1) SHOWER CHANCES NOW MAINLY CONFINED TO THE WESTERN SLOPES.
2) DRY WEATHER INTO MIDWEEK WITH TEMPS ABOVE NORMAL.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: SHOWER CHANCES NOW MAINLY CONFINED TO THE WESTERN
SLOPES.
INCREASED NORTHWEST FLOW WILL KEEP LOW CLOUDS AND SCATTERED
SHOWERS AROUND INTO MONDAY IN THE WESTERN SLOPES OF WV INTO
PORTION OF SW VA/NW NC BUT SHOULD TAPER OFF GOING TOWARD MIDDAY.
HOWEVER VERY WELL COULD SEE UPSLOPE CLOUDS LINGER INTO MONDAY
AFTERNOON. A 40KT+ 8H JET WILL KEEP IT GUSTY TODAY ESPECIALLY
THE MOUNTAINS, WITH WINDS FALLING OFF BY EVENING.
KEY MESSAGE 2...DRY WEATHER INTO MIDWEEK WITH TEMPS ABOVE
NORMAL.
KEEPING IT DRY INTO MIDWEEK AND EVEN LATE WEEK LOOKS LIKE
SHOWERS MAY BE JUST CONFINED TO THE MOUNTAINS. RIDGE BUILDS AS
DOES TEMPS TO ABOVE NORMAL. PATTERN CHANGE NEXT WEEKEND WITH
DEEPER TROUGH AND COOL CANADIAN HIGH MOVING IN. COULD BE FAIRLY
BRISK SATURDAY.
AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
NOTE: AMD NOT SKED FOR KLWB DUE TO COMMS OUTAGE
INCREASED UPSLOPE FLOW KEEPING IFR OR LOWER CIGS IN THE
MOUNTAINS, THAT WILL GRADUALLY LIFT AND SCATTER OUT THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. MOST SITES OUTSIDE BLF/LWB SHOULD BE VFR BY MID
MORNING.
WINDS SHOULD PICK UP MORE-SO AFTER 13Z WITH GUSTS 20-25KTS
LIKELY. ALL SITES SHOULD BE VFR BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
WINDS SUBSIDE BY 00Z/TUE.
FOG POTENTIAL LATE TONIGHT AT LWB WITH IFR VSBYS AS WINDS GO
CALM.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
MAINLY VFR THROUGH THE WEEK THOUGH CANNOT RULE OUT LATE NIGHT
FOG TUESDAY MORNING IN THE MOUNTAINS AS WINDS DROP TO CALM. A
FRONTAL SYSTEM MAY BRING SHOWERS TO THE MOUNTAINS LATE IN THE
WEEK WITH POTENTIAL MVFR CIGS.
RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
VA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
WV...NONE.
DISCUSSION...WP
AVIATION...WP
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page