719  
FNUS76 KSEW 181946  
FWSSEW  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR PACKWOOD BONEYARD...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA  
1146 AM PST WED DEC 18 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 PST ON DECEMBER 19.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (206) 526-6095, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER THE BURN SITE WILL SHIFT  
EAST OF THE REGION THURSDAY AFTERNOON. A WEAK FRONT WILL THEN  
APPROACH THE AREA LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON, BUT EVEN THEN CHANCES  
OF RAIN WILL ONLY BE 40 TO 50 PCT. A WEAK UPPER RIDGE WILL RESULT  
IN DRY CONDITIONS FOR MUCH OF FRIDAY BEFORE ANOTHER WEAK FRONT  
MOVES THROUGH, HOWEVER CHANCES OF RAIN WITH THIS SECONDARY SYSTEM  
WILL NOT EXCEED 30 PCT. SHOULD RAIN EMERGE FROM THIS, IT WILL  
LARGELY BE CONFINED TO THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN.  
CWR.................6 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.  
MIN HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.  
HAINES MID LEVEL....3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.01 INCHES.  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
IN THE EVENING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN  
OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................6 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.  
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH.  
HAINES MID LEVEL....3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.01 INCHES.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.  
MIN HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH.  
HAINES MID LEVEL....3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 

 
FORECASTER...REEDY  
REQUESTED BY...ANDREW BISSELL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2428742.0/SEW  
.DELDT 12/18/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ANDREW.BISSELL@USDA.GOV  
 
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