201
FNUS76 KSEW 151027
FWSSEW
SPOT FORECAST FOR MT TOMS CREEK FIRE...USWFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
327 AM PDT WED JUL 15 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 PDT ON JULY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (206) 526-6095, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING FOR LIGHTNING AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS...
DISCUSSION
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS OVER THE FIRE SITE TODAY
BEFORE AN UPPER LEVEL LOW ENTERS THE REGION TONIGHT. THE CHANCE
FOR SHOWERS WILL START IN THE MORNING AFTER 0800 WHILE THE HIGHEST
PROBABILITY FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL AFTER NOON.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS AT THE FIRE SITE WILL GET CLOSE TO A QUARTER OF
AN INCH, ALTHOUGH FUELS WILL STILL BE RECEPTIVE TO ANY LIGHTNING
STRIKES. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP COULD RESULT IN OUTFLOW GUSTS
RANGING 35 TO 50 MPH. DRY CONDITIONS AND INCREASING TEMPERATURES
RESUME THIS WEEKEND.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.1 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
CEILING (KFT).......25. ISOLATED SPOTS DOWN TO 1 POSSIBLE
IN THE MORNING.
VISIBILITY..........10.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.8 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 4 MPH.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.01 INCHES.
CEILING (KFT).......25 DECREASING TO 0.5 OVERNIGHT.
VISIBILITY..........10.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN
THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH THE DAY. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................44 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.24 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.28 INCHES.
CEILING (KFT).......0.5 IN THE MORNING, INCREASING TO 3 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
VISIBILITY..........5 IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 10 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
FORECASTER...REEDY
REQUESTED BY...REED SNOW
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617100.5/SEW
.DELDT 07/15/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JAMES.FIELDS@USDA.GOV,REED.SNOW@USDA.GOV
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