429
FNUS76 KSEW 161254
FWSSEW
SPOT FORECAST FOR MT TOMS CREEK FIRE...USWFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
554 AM PDT THU JUL 16 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 PDT ON JULY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (206) 526-6095, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS...
DISCUSSION
SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE OVER
THE FIRE SITE TODAY. THE TIMING FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAS
MOVED UP, WITH LATEST RADAR SUGGESTING A START TIME BETWEEN
0600-0800 AND REMAINING UNTIL MID-AFTERNOON. THE SYSTEM IS QUICK
TO EXIT THE AREA WITH THE THUNDER THREAT WRAPPING UP BETWEEN
1700-1900 AND SHOWERS ENDING BY 2200. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP CAN
PRODUCE FREQUENT LIGHTNING, BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL AND WIND GUSTS
RANGING 35 TO 50 MPH. WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS RESUME THIS WEEKEND.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
THE DAY. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................45 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.31 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.23 INCHES.
CEILING (KFT).......1.0.
VISIBILITY..........6 INCREASING TO 10 IN THE AFTERNOON.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.01 INCHES.
CEILING (KFT).......2.0.
VISIBILITY..........10.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.2 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
CEILING (KFT).......MISSING.
VISIBILITY..........MISSING.
FORECASTER...REEDY
REQUESTED BY...REED SNOW
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617100.6/SEW
.DELDT 07/16/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL REED.SNOW@USDA.GOV,JAMES.FIELDS@USDA.GOV
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