159  
FNUS76 KSEW 161651  
FWSSEW  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SWAMP CREEK FIRE...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA  
951 AM PDT THU JUL 16 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1000 PDT ON JULY 16.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (206) 526-6095, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN  
OBSERVED SOUTH AND WEST OF THE INCIDENT AREA SO FAR TODAY.  
CONDITIONS ARE SLATED TO BECOME DRIER IN THE AFTERNOON BUT CAN'T  
RULE OUT AN ADDITIONAL 20% CHANCE OF THUNDER FROM THE NBM WITH  
LINGERING SHOWERS BUT THAT NUMBER MAY BE OVERDONE GIVEN RECENT  
TRENDS. ONSHORE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD WITH DECENT RH  
RECOVERIES OVERNIGHT.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.28 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH  
IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
CEILING (KFT).......11 DECREASING TO 8.4 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
VISIBILITY..........10.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE EVENING.  
CWR.................3 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.20 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.  
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 8 MPH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.01 INCHES.  
CEILING (KFT).......5.8 DECREASING TO 3.7 OVERNIGHT.  
VISIBILITY..........10.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.2 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.  
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
CEILING (KFT).......3.7 IN THE MORNING.  
VISIBILITY..........10 IN THE MORNING.  
 
 
FORECASTER...MCMILLIAN  
REQUESTED BY...LUCAS BONANNO  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2617482.0/SEW  
.DELDT 07/16/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL WAPSC@FIRENET.GOV  
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