211
FNUS76 KSGX 171757
FWSSGX
SPOT FORECAST FOR DALE INCIDENT...CAL FIRE RRU
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
1057 AM PDT THU JUL 17 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1200 PDT ON JULY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY TODAY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. 20 PERCENT
CHANCE OF STORMS FROM 12PM TO 6PM, HIGHEST CHANCE AFTER 3 PM. MOST
RAIN AND LIGHTNING WILL BE HIGH BASED WITH SPRINKLES/LIGHT SHOWERS
AT THE SURFACE, BUT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL
MAY OCCUR. ELEVATED LIGHT SHOWERS/STORMS MAY OCCUR DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS AS WELL.
SIMILAR WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR FRIDAY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. BEST CHANCE FOR THESE TO OCCUR
AFTER 12 NOON UNTIL 6PM. CONFIDENCE IS HIGHER ON THIS DAY TO SEE THE
BEST CHANCE FOR HEAVIER RAIN/MORE LIGHTNING WITH ANY STORMS.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS AT TIMES NEAR ANY STORMS THAT FORM, HIGHEST
CONFIDENCE OF OCCURRENCE ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................14 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS AROUND 4 TO 6 MPH.
TIME (PDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........46 46 46 46 46 36
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF ARS
WEATHER TYPE....HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ SMK
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP............83 83 82 83 82 81
RH..............34 35 37 36 36 38
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 7 7 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.9 11 12 12 14 14
EYE LVL WND DIR.W W W W W W
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 5 5 6 6
EYE LVL WND GST.7 7 8 9 10 12
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE
EARLY IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................12 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TIME (PDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........36 36 36 36 36 41 41 41 41 41 41 23
WEATHER COV.....ARS ARS SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....SMK SMK RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP............80 76 71 68 65 62 60 61 60 59 59 58
RH..............41 51 56 60 64 69 77 76 79 81 80 81
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W NW W SW W SE E NE E E
20 FT WIND SPD..7 5 5 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
20 FT WIND GUST.12 10 9 6 4 4 4
EYE LVL WND DIR.W W W NW W SW W SE E NE E E
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
EYE LVL WND GST.14 12 10 7 5 5 3
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................5 PERCENT INCREASING TO 15 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST UP TO 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........23 23 23 23 23 46 46 46 46 46 46 14
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW SMK SMK SMK HAZ
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP............57 61 69 74 78 80 82 83 84 84 83 82
RH..............82 78 63 49 43 42 40 40 40 39 40 42
20 FT WIND DIR..E S W W W W W W NW NW W W
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 2 2 3 5 6 7 7 7 6
20 FT WIND GUST. 4 5 6 8 10 11 12 12 12 11
EYE LVL WND DIR.E S W W W W W W NW NW W W
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 1 1 3 4 4 4 5 4 4
EYE LVL WND GST. 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 9 9 8
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 10
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS.
SUNDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. LIGHT
WINDS.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. LIGHT
WINDS.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. LIGHT
WINDS.
FORECASTER...ADAM ROSER
REQUESTED BY...ALEXANDER GIERY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2518173.0/SGX
.DELDT 07/17/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ALEXANDER.GIERY@FIRE.CA.GOV
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