250
FXUS66 KSGX 031105
AFDSGX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
305 AM PST WED DEC 3 2025
SYNOPSIS
THE MARINE LAYER HAS DEEPENED TO AROUND 4500 FEET WITH A FEW LIGHT
SHOWERS POSSIBLE NEAR THE SAN DIEGO COUNTY COAST EARLY THIS
MORNING. WEAK OFFSHORE LOWER-LEVEL FLOW WILL DEVELOP TODAY AND
CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY MORNING. NORTHEAST WINDS ALONG AND BELOW THE
COASTAL SLOPES OF THE MOUNTAINS WILL MOSTLY GUST TO 35 MPH OR
LESS, EXCEPT TO 45 MPH NEAR THE CAJON PASS AND NEAR THE COASTAL
SLOPES OF THE SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS. THE COAST WILL WARM BRIEFLY ON
THURSDAY BEFORE COOLING SLIGHTLY FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WHILE
INLAND AREAS WILL WARM STEADILY FOR THURSDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES NEXT TUESDAY AS MUCH AS 12 TO 18
DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THE VALLEYS.
DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...
SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
THE MARINE LAYER HAS DEEPENED TO 4500 TO 5000 FEET WITH COASTAL
LOW CLOUDS EXTENDING WELL INLAND AND ONTO THE COASTAL SLOPES OF
THE MOUNTAINS. RADAR HAS SHOWN SOME WEAK RETURNS OVER THE INNER
COASTAL WATERS OF SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOVING LOCALLY INLAND ALONG THE
COAST. THERE HAVE BEEN A COUPLE OF LOCATIONS IN COASTAL SAN DIEGO
COUNTY THAT HAVE RECEIVED 0.01 INCH OF RAINFALL WITH SPRINKLES
POSSIBLE IN SOME SAN DIEGO COUNTY COASTAL AREAS EARLY THIS MORNING.
THE LOWER-LEVEL FLOW WILL GO WEAKLY OFFSHORE TODAY WITH WEAK
OFFSHORE FLOW CONTINUING INTO FRIDAY MORNING. MODEL GUIDANCE HAS
TRENDED WEAKER WITH THE OFFSHORE FLOW AND ASSOCIATED NORTHEAST
WINDS. NORTHEAST WINDS ALONG AND BELOW THE COASTAL SLOPES OF THE
MOUNTAINS WILL MOSTLY GUST TO 35 MPH OR LESS, EXCEPT TO 45 MPH
NEAR THE CAJON PASS AND NEAR THE COASTAL SLOPES OF THE SANTA ANA
MOUNTAINS.
HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE COOLER FOR INLAND AREAS, AS MUCH
AS 10 TO 15 DEGREES COOLER FOR THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN THE
MOUNTAINS. HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR THE COAST AND VALLEYS WILL WARM A
FEW TO AROUND 5 DEGREES ON THURSDAY, THEN COOL A FEW DEGREES NEAR
THE COAST ON FRIDAY AS HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR INLAND AREAS WARM AS
MUCH AS 5 TO 10 DEGREES FOR THE MOUNTAINS AND HIGH DESERT.
LONG TERM (SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
THERE WILL BE HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC OFF
THE CALIFORNIA COAST WITH DRY GENERALLY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
ACROSS SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THERE WILL BE A GRADUAL WARMING TREND
FOR SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY WILL
RANGE FROM THE MID 60S NEAR THE COAST TO UPPER 60S TO MID 70S FOR
THE VALLEYS WITH THE 70S FOR THE LOWER DESERTS. WITH THE WARMING,
HIGH TEMPERATURES NEXT TUESDAY WILL BE AS MUCH AS 12 TO 18
DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THE VALLEYS. HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR NEXT
TUESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER 70S NEAR THE COAST TO THE UPPER
70S TO MID 80S FOR THE VALLEYS WITH THE LOWER 80S FOR THE LOWER
DESERTS.
AVIATION
031030Z....COASTS/VALLEYS/FOOTHILLS...BKN LOW CLOUDS BASED 2500-3500
FEET MSL AND TOPS TO 5000 FEET WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING, AT TIMES
OBSCURING FOOTHILLS. ISOLD -DZ BRIEFLY LOWERING CLOUDS TO 2000 FEET
MSL AND VIS 3-5SM THROUGH 15Z. CLOUDS WILL RANDOMLY AND
INTERMITTENTLY SCATTER OUT FROM TIME TO TIME THIS MORNING. FULL
SCATTER OUT EXPECTED 14-18Z. NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS GUSTING 20-30
KTS IN FOOTHILLS WILL EVENTUALLY SPREAD INTO VALLEYS BELOW THE CAJON
PASS AFTER 18Z (INCLUDING VCNTY KONT). THESE WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN
TO AS HIGH AS 45 KTS IN FOOTHILLS AFTER 04Z. AREAS OF LLWS AND MOD
UP/DOWNDRAFTS IN LEE OF MOUNTAINS.
HIGHER MOUNTAINS/DESERTS...VFR CONDITIONS TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH SCT
TO LOCALLY BKN HIGH CLOUDS AOA 20 KFT. WEST WINDS THIS MORNING
GUSTING 25-40 KTS THROUGH MOUNTAIN PASSES AND ALONG EAST-FACING
SLOPES WILL WEAKEN THROUGH 18Z.
MARINE
NO HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
BEACHES
VERY HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR EACH MORNING TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY,
THREATENING COASTAL FLOODING, MINOR TIDAL OVERFLOW AND BEACH
EROSION. CHANCES OF THESE IMPACTS ARE HIGHER THIS MORNING AND
THURSDAY MORNING AS ELEVATED SURF UP TO 5-6 FEET COMBINES WITH THE
HIGH TIDES, MOSTLY IN SAN DIEGO COUNTY. CHECK THE COASTAL HAZARD
MESSAGE FOR DETAILS.
SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR ORANGE COUNTY
COASTAL AREAS-SAN DIEGO COUNTY COASTAL AREAS.
PZ...NONE.
PUBLIC...17
AVIATION/MARINE/BEACHES...MM
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