045  
FNUS76 KSGX 212013  
FWSSGX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR UPPER BALDY...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA  
1213 PM PST WED JAN 21 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 PST ON JANUARY 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
RELATIVELY MOIST CONDITIONS WITH STRAY SHOWER CHANCES EXPECTED  
THURSDAY AND MORESO ON FRIDAY, WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER CHANCES FOR  
RAIN ON FRIDAY. AFTERNOON HUMIDITY IS ALLOWED TO FALL TO NEAR 35  
PERCENT EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE BETTER MOISTURE PUSHES  
IN. MORNING RECOVERIES FRIDAY MORNING NEAR 80 PERCENT FOLLOWED BY  
MINIMUM AFTERNOON HUMIDITY DOWN TO 55 PERCENT FRIDAY AFTERNOON.  
WINDS WILL BE RELATIVELY LIGHT FOR THE FORECAST AREA ON THURSDAY  
INTO FRIDAY, WITH PREDOMINANTLY SOUTHERLY FLOW AT 5 TO 10 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON HOURS.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-95 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF RAIN SHOWERS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.  
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.  
CWR.................10-25 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 5 MPH.  
 
TIME (PST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........97 97 97 83 83 83 79 79 79 32 32  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............48 44 44 45 50 53 54 55 55 55 52  
RH..............40 50 58 58 54 49 50 50 50 51 54  
20 FT WIND DIR..W NW SW SW SW SE SW SW SW SW W  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 2 2 3 2 3 3 2 2 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 6 6 5 6 6 6 6 4  
EYE LVL WND DIR.W NW SW SW SW SE SW SW SW SW W  
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 1 2 1 2 2 2 1 1  
EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 4 4 5 4 5 5 5 4 3  
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S SW SW SW  
RIDGE WIND SPD..5 5 5 10 10 10 5 5 5 5 5  
CWR.............10 10 10 30 30 30 30 30 30 10 10  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.  
MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 0 TO 5 MPH.  
CWR.................12 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (PST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........32 32 32 32 63 63 63 63 63 63 50 50  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............50 50 49 40 50 41 39 49 42 41 48 39  
RH..............56 56 56 79 54 74 82 56 73 74 55 78  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW S S SW SW W W W W NW W  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 5  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW S S SW SW W W W W NW W  
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
EYE LVL WND GST.3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW  
RIDGE WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 0  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.  
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
RIDGETOP...........WEST AROUND 0 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................6 PERCENT INCREASING TO 28 PERCENT IN THE LATE  
MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO  
11 PERCENT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH.  
 
TIME (PST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........50 50 50 50 61 61 61 61 61 61 62 62  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............44 48 41 43 49 50 43 52 44 49 52 51  
RH..............65 56 74 74 63 63 86 63 84 69 60 61  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 6 6 6  
EYE LVL WND DIR.W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2  
EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 5 5  
RIDGE WIND DIR..W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW M  
RIDGE WIND SPD..0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 M  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 30 30 30 30 30 30 10 10  
 

 
FORECASTER...DAVID MUNYAN  
REQUESTED BY...ART LOZANO  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2600807.0/SGX  
.DELDT 01/21/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ARTURO.LOZANO@USDA.GOV  
 
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