821  
FNUS76 KSGX 212146  
FWSSGX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR TRAINING EXERCISE COLLEGE...CALFIRE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA  
146 PM PST WED JAN 21 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 PST ON JANUARY 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
MOISTURE CONTINUES TO INCREASE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY AHEAD OF AN  
INCOMING STORM SYSTEM THAT MAY BRING SPOTTY RAIN SHOWERS TO THE  
AREA FOR THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. HOWEVER, RAIN WILL BE QUITE  
INTERMITTENT AND LIGHT, WITH THE CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN GENERALLY  
15-25 PERCENT. MINIMUM HUMIDITY ON THURSDAY FALLING TO NEAR 60  
PERCENT, BUT ONLY NEAR 74 PERCENT FOR FRIDAY. BUILDING CLOUD COVER  
WITH A DEEPENING MARINE LAYER WILL LIKELY LEAD TO FULL SATURATION  
IN THE MORNINGS. WINDS REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT WITH WEST-  
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS NEAR 5-7 MPH EXPECTED IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-85 PERCENT). CHANCE  
OF RAIN SHOWERS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.  
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 2 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 1  
TO 2 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO  
THE NORTHWEST 2 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING  
AND AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (PST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........65 72 72 72 80 80 80 83 83 83 69 69  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............50 50 53 57 61 65 68 68 68 68 66 64  
RH..............97 99 91 83 73 64 61 61 61 61 66 71  
20 FT WIND DIR..N E SE N NW W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 1 1 1 1 2 3 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST. 5 6 6 6 8 7 6 6  
EYE LVL WND DIR.N E SE N NW W W W W W W W  
EYE LVL WND SPD.0 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 2 2  
EYE LVL WND GST. 4 4 5 5 6 5 5 5  
RIDGE WIND DIR..SW S SW S S S S S S SW SW SW  
RIDGE WIND SPD..5 10 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
CWR.................24 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 2 TO 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER 3  
AM.  
 
TIME (PST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........69 69 69 69 93 93 93 93 93 93 94 94  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............60 58 57 56 54 56 56 53 55 54 52 56  
RH..............82 89 95 96 100 97 96 100 96 100 100 88  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W N E E E SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
EYE LVL WND DIR.W W W W W W N E E E SE SE  
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1  
EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
RIDGE WIND DIR..SW SW SW S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW  
RIDGE WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 5  
CWR.............20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON,  
THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.  
MIN HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 4 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 0 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 5  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................24 PERCENT DECREASING TO 11 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2 TO 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 8 TO  
10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (PST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........94 94 94 94 83 83 83 83 83 83 72 72  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............54 51 57 58 59 61 64 64 64 61 63 57  
RH..............95 100 91 89 90 83 75 74 74 80 75 94  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE N N N SW W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 0 0 0 1 2 3 5 5 5 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST. 1 1 4 5 6 9 10 10 10 10  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE N E S SW W W W W W W W  
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 0 1 1 1 1 2 4 4 4 4 4  
EYE LVL WND GST. 3 4 5 7 7 7 7 7  
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S S S S S SW SW SW W W M  
RIDGE WIND SPD..5 0 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 M  
CWR.............20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10  
 

 
FORECASTER...DAVID MUNYAN  
REQUESTED BY...PATRICK CONTRADO  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2600534.2/SGX  
.DELDT 01/21/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL PATRICK.CONTRADO@FIRE.CA.GOV  
 
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