600  
FNUS76 KSGX 212339  
FWSSGX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH ARROWHEAD BURN...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA  
339 PM PST WED JAN 21 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 PST ON JANUARY 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PASSING TO THE SOUTH THIS WEEK WILL ALLOW  
FOR INCREASING MOISTURE AND ONSHORE FLOW THROUGH FRIDAY. RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY VALUES REACHING NEAR 100% BY FRIDAY MORNING WITH  
INTERMITTENT FOG THROUGH THE DAY ON FRIDAY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS (20-30%) FROM THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
WETTING RAIN (10-20%) AS WELL, ESPECIALLY ON FRIDAY WHEN ISOLATED  
HEAVIER SHOWERS MAY PRODUCE RAINFALL RATES UP TO 0.3"/HR.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.  
CWR.................12 PERCENT INCREASING TO 15 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 5 MPH.  
 
TIME (PST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........91 91 79 79 79 71 71 71 47 47  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............45 49 50 51 50 50 50 50 49 47  
RH..............53 48 46 48 53 57 61 62 68 74  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SW S S S S SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 6 6 6 6 6 7 6 6 5  
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S SW S S S S SE  
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1  
EYE LVL WND GST.3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S  
RIDGE WIND SPD..10 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 5  
CWR.............0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.  
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.  
CWR.................15 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 8 MPH.  
 
TIME (PST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........47 47 47 47 63 63 63 63 63 63 58 58  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............45 44 43 42 43 44 42 42 43 44 41 39  
RH..............79 79 80 85 80 78 86 86 83 82 90 98  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 7 8 8 7 7 6 6 6  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE S S S S S S S S S S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1  
EYE LVL WND GST.3 3 3 3 3 4 4 3 3 3 3 3  
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
RIDGE WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 5 5  
CWR.............20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.  
MIN HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.  
CWR.................12 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH.  
 
TIME (PST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........58 58 58 58 62 62 62 62 62 62 54 54  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............41 40 41 43 44 47 45 43 45 46 42 45  
RH..............90 94 92 89 91 81 90 94 90 86 97 86  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 6 6 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 9  
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
EYE LVL WND GST.2 2 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4  
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S M  
RIDGE WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 M  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
 

 
FORECASTER...KYLE WHEELER  
REQUESTED BY...LAWRENCE COLLINS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2600832.0/SGX  
.DELDT 01/21/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL LAWRENCE.COLLINS@USDA.GOV  
 
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