836  
FNUS76 KSGX 230033  
FWSSGX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH ARROWHEAD PILE BURN...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA  
433 PM PST THU JAN 22 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PST ON JANUARY 23.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
PRECIPITATION CHANCES LOOK UNLIKELY FOR FRIDAY, BUT A BRIEF LIGHT  
RAIN SHOWER IN THE AFTERNOON ISN'T OUT OF THE QUESTION. ALTHOUGH  
RAINFALL SHOULDN'T BE AN ISSUE, SOME REDUCED VISIBILITY DUE TO FOG  
WILL BE POSSIBLE BOTH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY MORNINGS. WINDS WILL BE  
LIGHT FRIDAY MORNING, INCREASING IN THE AFTERNOON, BECOMING  
LIGHTER AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT. WINDS SWITCH NORTHERLY ON SATURDAY,  
GUSTING UP TO 15-18 MPH BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL CONTINUE  
TO INCREASE INTO SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING, PEAKING JUST  
BEFORE SUNRISE ON SUNDAY. WIND SPEEDS SLOWLY FALL SUNDAY AND INTO  
MONDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL COOL SLIGHTLY INTO THE WEEKEND.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.  
MIN HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS AROUND 4 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
CWR.................7 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 13 MPH.  
 
TIME (PST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........26 29 29 29 29 29 29 33 33  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............44 47 48 48 48 47 47 45 43  
RH..............86 78 77 82 83 85 88 92 97  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 12  
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
EYE LVL WND GST.8 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 9  
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW  
RIDGE WIND SPD..5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.  
RIDGETOP...........WEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................8 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 13 MPH.  
 
TIME (PST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........33 33 33 33 74 74 74 74 74 74 41 41  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............43 42 41 41 41 41 41 40 40 39 39 38  
RH..............99 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SW S S SW S SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 7 6 7 7 6 6 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 12 12 11 11 11 12 11 11 10 9  
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S SW S S SW S SW SW  
EYE LVL WND SPD.5 4 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
EYE LVL WND GST.9 9 9 9 8 8 8 9 8 8 7 7  
RIDGE WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W NW  
RIDGE WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 5 5  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.  
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH UP TO 7 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 12 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH  
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT EARLY  
IN THE MORNING BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 16 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................4 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 10  
TO 17 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (PST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........41 41 41 41 20 20 20 20 20 20 14 14  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............37 37 39 40 42 43 45 44 44 44 44 42  
RH..............100 100 100 93 86 80 74 74 70 64 59 58  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW W W N N NW N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 3 2 5 7 5 7 9 9 8 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 6 6 10 11 10 12 15 16 15 16  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW W W N N NW N N N N N  
EYE LVL WND SPD.3 3 2 2 4 4 4 5 7 7 6 7  
EYE LVL WND GST.6 6 5 5 7 8 7 9 11 12 11 12  
RIDGE WIND DIR..NW NW N N N N N N N N N M  
RIDGE WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 20 M  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
 
FORECASTER...SAMANTHA ZUBER  
REQUESTED BY...LAWRENCE COLLINS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2600932.0/SGX  
.DELDT 01/22/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL LAWRENCE.COLLINS@USDA.GOV  
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