866
FXUS66 KSGX 061748
AFDSGX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
948 AM PST FRI FEB 6 2026
SYNOPSIS
THERE COULD BE A FEW SPRINKLES OR LIGHT SHOWERS OVER THE HIGHER
MOUNTAINS TODAY. OTHERWISE DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY
WITH WARMING FOR THE WEEKEND. LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS MOVING TO NEAR
THE WEST COAST FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WILL BRING COOLING,
GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS FOR THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS, AND A CHANCE
OF SHOWERS.
DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...
..NEW AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW FOR THE 18Z TAF PACKAGE
SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
MID AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE AND CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY MOVE NORTH
OF THE AREA TODAY AS A WEAKENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES INLAND
ALONG THE COAST. WHILE THERE COULD STILL BE A FEW SPRINKLES OVER
THE HIGHER MOUNTAINS FROM MID-LEVEL LIGHT SHOWERS TODAY, THERE HAS
YET TO BE ANY MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION AND LITTLE OR NONE IS
EXPECTED. THE MARINE LAYER HAS DEEPENED TO AROUND 1500 FEET WITH
AREAS OF LOW CLOUDS EXTENDING INLAND ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL PLAIN AND INTO THE WESTERN VALLEYS IN SAN
DIEGO COUNTY.
HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR TODAY WILL BE COOLER, ESPECIALLY FOR THE
COAST AND VALLEYS WITH THE ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL PLAIN AS MUCH AS
10 TO 15 DEGREES COOLER THAN THURSDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY
WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 60S NEAR THE COAST TO THE UPPER 60S TO MID
70S FOR THE VALLEYS WITH THE LOWER DESERTS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
AROUND 80. EVEN WITH THE COOLING, HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR INLAND
AREAS WILL STILL BE 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL WARM FOR BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WITH
SUNDAY HIGH TEMPERATURES AS MUCH AS 12 TO 18 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE
FOR SOME LOCATION IN THE INLAND VALLEYS AND ON THE LOWER COASTAL
SLOPES OF THE MOUNTAINS. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY WILL RANGE
FROM THE LOWER 70S NEAR THE COAST TO THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S FOR
THE VALLEYS WITH THE LOWER DESERTS IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S.
LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY A FEW TO AROUND 5 DEGREES COOLER THAN
SUNDAY. THERE WILL BE GREATER COOLING FOR TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY
WITH SLIGHT WARMING FOR THURSDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY WILL BE AROUND AVERAGE, RANGING FROM THE LOWER TO MID
60S NEAR THE COAST TO THE 60S FOR THE VALLEYS WITH THE LOWER
DESERTS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S.
THERE CONTINUE TO BE DIFFERENCES FOR NEXT WEEK IN THE HANDLING OF
LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC INTO THE WESTERN STATES. AN
INITIAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MAY MOVE INLAND INTO CALIFORNIA AROUND
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY WITH A SECOND THAT COULD MOVE TO THE
COAST OR MOVE TOWARD THE SOUTH AND REMAIN OFF THE COAST. CHANCES
FOR MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION FROM THE CALIBRATED, DETERMINISTIC
NBM FOR BOTH TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY RANGES FROM 25 TO 35 PERCENT
NEAR THE COAST TO AROUND 40 TO 50 PERCENT FOR THE MOUNTAINS.
AVIATION...061745Z....COAST/VALLEYS
LOW CLOUDS HAVE CLEARED OUT
OF THE INLAND AREAS, WITH VFR PREVAILING AND GENERALLY LIGHT
SOUTHERLY WINDS. PATCHY LOW CLOUDS REDEVELOP AGAIN TONIGHT AND WILL
MOVE INLAND UP TO 20 MILES WITH BASES 1500-2000FT MSL BEGINNING
AROUND 06Z SAT, RISING TO 2200-3000+FT MSL AFTER 09Z. VIS GENERALLY
SHOULD BE ABOVE 6SM, ALTHOUGH AREAS OF THE INLAND EMPIRE AND WHERE
CLOUDS INTERSECT TERRAIN MAY SEE VIS BELOW 5SM AFTER 08Z. CLOUDS
RETREAT BACK TOWARDS THE COAST AROUND 16Z SAT.
HIGH CLOUDS AOA 15,000FT MSL CONTINUING OVER THE AREA WITH HIGH
CLOUDS AOA 25,000FT MSL EXPECTED AFTER 20Z.
MARINE
A BUILDING NORTHWESTERLY SWELL (280 DEGREES) AT 15-16 SECONDS WILL
BRING SEAS OF 6-9 FEET IN THE OUTER WATERS NEAR/AROUND SAN CLEMENTE
ISLAND TODAY AND SATURDAY. THIS MAY ALSO LEAD TO LOCALIZED STEEP,
ROUGH CONDITIONS NEAR THE BAY ENTRANCES, INCLUDING THE ENTRANCE TO
THE SAN DIEGO BAY/ZUNIGA SHOAL AREA AND OCEANSIDE HARBOR. OTHERWISE,
NO HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
BEACHES
INCREASING LONG-PERIOD (15-16 SECOND) SWELL FROM THE WEST-NORTHWEST
(280 DEGREES) WILL BRING ELEVATED TO HIGH SURF OF 5-8 FEET WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER SETS TO 10 FEET THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING. IMPACTS WILL BE GREATEST AT WEST FACING BEACHES, ESPECIALLY
ACROSS SOUTHERN SAN DIEGO COUNTY, AND THERE WILL BE A HIGH RISK FOR
RIP CURRENTS. THIS MAY ALSO LEAD TO MINOR TIDAL OVERFLOW FOR LOW-
LYING BEACH AREAS DURING HIGH TIDE LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY.
FURTHER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND IN THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY.
SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM PST SUNDAY FOR ORANGE COUNTY
COASTAL AREAS-SAN DIEGO COUNTY COASTAL AREAS.
PZ...NONE.
PUBLIC...MARTIN
AVIATION/MARINE/BEACHES...ZUBER
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