525
FNUS76 KSGX 111230
FWSSGX
SPOT FORECAST FOR LAKE MORENA COMMUNITY DEFENSE PILE BURN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
430 AM PST WED FEB 11 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 PST ON FEBRUARY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
RAIN THIS MORNING WILL BE FOLLOWED BY OCCASIONAL SHOWERS FOR THE REST
OF THE DAY. HIGH HUMIDITY TODAY, SATURATING TONIGHT, FOLLOWED BY LOW TO
MODERATE HUMIDITY THURSDAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS THIS MORNING WILL TURN
WESTERLY AND WEAKEN THIS AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT SHOWERS,
NOT LIKELY WETTING RAINS, LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MIN HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST UP TO 5 MPH LATE
IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN
THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH LATE
IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AROUND 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
AROUND 15 TO 25 MPH.
CWR.................29 PERCENT DECREASING TO 7 PERCENT LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 12
TO 14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (PST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........92 85 85 85 84 84 84 88 88 88 83 83
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
TEMP............47 46 48 50 53 55 55 56 55 55 55 54
RH..............98 100 99 95 83 80 79 80 81 82 81 85
20 FT WIND DIR..E N S S SW SW SW W W SW W W
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 6 11 12 13 12 12 12 12 12 11
EYE LVL WND DIR.E N S S SW SW SW W W SW W W
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 2 4 4 5 5 4 5 5 4 4
EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 5 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 8
RIDGE WIND DIR..S SW S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
RIDGE WIND SPD..15 25 15 15 25 15 15 20 15 15 25 15
CWR.............20 20 20 20 30 30 30 30 30 30 10 10
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS AROUND 4 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN
BECOMING LIGHT IN THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10
MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................7 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 5 TO
6 MPH OVERNIGHT.
TIME (PST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........83 59 59 59 60 60 60 49 49 49 63 63
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............51 49 48 47 47 46 46 45 43 43 42 40
RH..............93 100 100 100 100 100 99 99 100 98 94 96
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W NW N N N NE N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 5 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 10 8 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
EYE LVL WND DIR.W W W NW N N N NE N N N N
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1
EYE LVL WND GST.8 8 7 6 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4
RIDGE WIND DIR..W SW W W SW W W SW W SW SW SE
RIDGE WIND SPD..15 20 10 10 10 5 5 10 0 0 5 0
CWR.............10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING
SOUTHEAST AROUND 4 MPH, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING EAST
AROUND 5 MPH, THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY
IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.
RIDGETOP...........VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 5 MPH.
CWR.................9 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING
TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 6 MPH.
TIME (PST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........63 64 64 64 53 53 53 55 55 55 78 78
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW
TSTM COV........
TEMP............42 42 45 53 57 60 62 62 63 63 61 59
RH..............85 79 72 53 43 38 35 35 36 38 42 47
20 FT WIND DIR..NE E E E E E SE S S SW W W
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 2
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 7 9 10 10 9 9 8 7 6 6
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE E E E E E SE S S SW W W
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 2 3 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 2 1
EYE LVL WND GST.4 5 5 7 7 7 7 7 6 5 5 4
RIDGE WIND DIR..SE S E E S S S S S S S S
RIDGE WIND SPD..0 5 5 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
CWR.............0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
FORECASTER...MIGUEL MILLER
REQUESTED BY...JOSHUA CRADDOCK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2602396.0/SGX
.DELDT 02/11/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL GARRETT.CRAIGHEAD@USDA.GOV,JOSHUA.CRADDOCK@USDA.GOV,SM.FS.CNFECC@USDA.GOV
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