095  
FNUS76 KSGX 111240  
FWSSGX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LAKE MORENA COMMUNITY DEFENSE RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA  
440 AM PST WED FEB 11 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 PST ON FEBRUARY 11.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
RAIN THIS MORNING WILL START AROUND 730-8 AM AND TAPER OFF BY 10  
AM. THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY OCCASIONAL LIGHT SHOWERS FOR THE REST  
OF THE DAY. 0.10 INCH RAIN EXPECTED TODAY. HIGH HUMIDITY TODAY,  
SATURATING TONIGHT, FOLLOWED BY LOW TO MODERATE HUMIDITY THURSDAY.  
SOUTHERLY WINDS THIS MORNING WILL TURN WESTERLY AND WEAKEN THIS  
AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT SHOWERS, NOT LIKELY WETTING  
RAINS (AROUND 0.09 INCH), LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY.  
DRY AND WARMER OVER THE WEEKEND WITH LIGHT WINDS. ONSHORE WINDS  
INCREASING LATE SUNDAY IN ADVANCE OF A MUCH WETTER STORM LATE  
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY  
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.  
MIN HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST UP TO 5 MPH LATE  
IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH LATE  
IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
AROUND 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST  
AROUND 15 TO 25 MPH.  
CWR.................29 PERCENT DECREASING TO 7 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 12  
TO 14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (PST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........92 85 85 85 84 84 84 88 88 88 83 83  
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............47 46 48 50 53 55 55 56 55 55 55 54  
RH..............98 100 99 95 83 80 79 80 81 82 81 85  
20 FT WIND DIR..E N S S SW SW SW W W SW W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 6 11 12 13 12 12 12 12 12 11  
EYE LVL WND DIR.E N S S SW SW SW W W SW W W  
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 2 4 4 5 5 4 5 5 4 4  
EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 5 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 8  
RIDGE WIND DIR..S SW S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
RIDGE WIND SPD..15 25 15 15 25 15 15 20 15 15 25 15  
CWR.............20 20 20 20 30 30 30 30 30 30 10 10  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS AROUND 4 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN  
BECOMING LIGHT IN THE LATE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10  
MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................7 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 5 TO  
6 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (PST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........83 59 59 59 60 60 60 49 49 49 63 63  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............51 49 48 47 47 46 46 45 43 43 42 40  
RH..............93 100 100 100 100 100 99 99 100 98 94 96  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W NW N N N NE N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 5 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 10 8 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
EYE LVL WND DIR.W W W NW N N N NE N N N N  
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1  
EYE LVL WND GST.8 8 7 6 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4  
RIDGE WIND DIR..W SW W W SW W W SW W SW SW SE  
RIDGE WIND SPD..15 20 10 10 10 5 5 10 0 0 5 0  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING  
SOUTHEAST AROUND 4 MPH, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING EAST  
AROUND 5 MPH, THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY  
IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.  
RIDGETOP...........VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 5 MPH.  
CWR.................9 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST  
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON  
SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 6 MPH.  
 
TIME (PST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........63 64 64 64 53 53 53 55 55 55 78 78  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............42 42 45 53 57 60 62 62 63 63 61 59  
RH..............85 79 72 53 43 38 35 35 36 38 42 47  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE E E E E E SE S S SW W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 7 9 10 10 9 9 8 7 6 6  
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE E E E E E SE S S SW W W  
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 2 3 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 2 1  
EYE LVL WND GST.4 5 5 7 7 7 7 7 6 5 5 4  
RIDGE WIND DIR..SE S E E S S S S S S S S  
RIDGE WIND SPD..0 5 5 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
FRIDAY
 
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.  
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS AT EYE LEVEL.    
SATURDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. LIGHT  
WINDS AT EYE LEVEL.    
SUNDAY
 
 
MOSTLY SUNNY BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
LATE. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5  
MPH AT EYE LEVEL.  
 

 
FORECASTER...MIGUEL MILLER  
REQUESTED BY...DANNY NAYLOR  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2602255.1/SGX  
.DELDT 02/11/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DANIEL.NAYLOR@USDA.GOV  
 
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