427  
FNUS76 KSGX 111250  
FWSSGX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FRY CREEK UNIT 7...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA  
450 AM PST WED FEB 11 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 PST ON FEBRUARY 11.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
RAIN THIS MORNING WILL BE FOLLOWED BY OCCASIONAL LIGHT SHOWERS  
FOR THE REST OF THE DAY. HIGH HUMIDITY TODAY, SATURATING TONIGHT,  
FOLLOWED BY MODERATE HUMIDITY THURSDAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS THIS  
MORNING WILL TURN WESTERLY AND WEAKEN THIS AFTERNOON. SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF LIGHT SHOWERS, NOT LIKELY WETTING RAINS, LATE THURSDAY  
AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY. DRY AND WARMER OVER THE WEEKEND WITH LIGHT  
WINDS. ONSHORE WINDS INCREASING LATE SUNDAY IN ADVANCE OF A MUCH  
WETTER STORM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS  
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY  
IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.  
MIN HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 7 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH  
IN THE MORNING.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH  
IN THE MORNING.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 25 TO 30 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 10  
MPH.  
CWR.................72 PERCENT DECREASING TO 6 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 6 TO 7  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (PST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........84 89 89 89 92 92 92 91 91 91 75 75  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............43 42 42 42 43 43 45 45 45 45 44 41  
RH..............88 91 95 99 99 100 99 99 100 100 98 97  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S SW S SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 9 10 10 9 7 7 8 7 7 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 15 17 17 15 13 12 14 12 13 11 9  
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S SW S SW SW SW  
EYE LVL WND SPD.7 6 7 7 7 5 4 6 5 5 4 4  
EYE LVL WND GST.13 11 12 12 11 9 9 10 9 9 8 7  
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S S S SW SW SW SW S SW SW SW  
RIDGE WIND SPD..25 30 25 25 25 15 15 20 15 15 15 10  
CWR.............70 70 70 70 60 60 60 60 60 60 10 10  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.  
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5  
TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING, THEN DECREASING  
TO 0 TO 5 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................6 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
AROUND 3 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE NORTHEAST LATE IN THE EVENING SHIFTING  
TO THE WEST 2 TO 3 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING  
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH.  
 
TIME (PST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........75 48 48 48 52 52 52 68 68 68 66 66  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............41 41 41 40 40 40 40 40 39 39 39 38  
RH..............93 87 85 81 76 76 68 66 65 65 62 61  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W SW SW SW SW W W NW N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 6 6 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 5  
EYE LVL WND DIR.W W W SW SW SW SW W W NW N N  
EYE LVL WND SPD.3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 4  
RIDGE WIND DIR..SW SW SW W W W W W W W W N  
RIDGE WIND SPD..10 15 10 5 10 5 5 5 0 0 5 0  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.  
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
MORNING BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST  
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........VARIABLE WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS.  
CWR.................8 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 2 TO 5 MPH.  
 
TIME (PST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........66 58 58 58 45 45 45 62 62 62 77 77  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............39 39 40 44 46 48 49 50 50 50 50 49  
RH..............58 52 55 52 52 53 54 54 54 54 53 52  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE E E E E E NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 6 6 5 5 4 4 6 7 8 8  
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE NE E E E E E NE NE NE NE NE  
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 3  
EYE LVL WND GST.4 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 4 5 6 6  
RIDGE WIND DIR..N SW E E S S S SW SW S S S  
RIDGE WIND SPD..5 0 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
FRIDAY
 
 
PARTLY CLOUDY BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH AT EYE LEVEL.   
SATURDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS AT  
EYE LEVEL.    
SUNDAY
 
 
PARTLY CLOUDY TURNING MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE.  
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH AT EYE LEVEL.  
 

 
FORECASTER...MIGUEL MILLER  
REQUESTED BY...DANA BARRE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2602216.1/SGX  
.DELDT 02/11/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JONATHAN.POLANSKY@USDA.GOV,GREGORY.PELSMA@USDA.GOV,DANA.BARRE@USDA.GOV,SM.FS.CNFECC@USDA.GOV  
 
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