612  
FNUS76 KSGX 111258  
FWSSGX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR JEFF VALLEY UNIT 4&9...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA  
458 AM PST WED FEB 11 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 PST ON FEBRUARY 11.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
RAIN THIS MORNING WILL BE FOLLOWED BY OCCASIONAL LIGHT SHOWERS  
FOR THE REST OF THE DAY. HIGH HUMIDITY TODAY, SATURATING TONIGHT,  
FOLLOWED BY MODERATE HUMIDITY THURSDAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS THIS  
MORNING WILL TURN WESTERLY AND WEAKEN THIS AFTERNOON. SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF LIGHT SHOWERS, NOT LIKELY WETTING RAINS, LATE THURSDAY  
AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY. DRY AND WARMER OVER THE WEEKEND WITH LIGHT  
WINDS. ONSHORE WINDS INCREASING LATE SUNDAY IN ADVANCE OF A MUCH  
WETTER STORM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS  
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY  
IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.  
MIN HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 7 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 11 MPH  
IN THE MORNING.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10  
MPH.  
CWR.................65 PERCENT DECREASING TO 7 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 8 TO  
9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (PST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........85 90 90 90 91 91 91 90 90 90 73 73  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............43 44 43 42 42 43 44 44 43 43 42 41  
RH..............91 92 93 96 99 97 98 95 99 98 99 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 9 9 9 8 6 7 7 6 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 11 15 15 15 13 11 12 12 11 12 11  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W  
EYE LVL WND SPD.5 4 6 7 7 5 4 5 5 4 4 4  
EYE LVL WND GST.9 8 11 11 11 9 8 9 9 8 9 8  
RIDGE WIND DIR..S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
RIDGE WIND SPD..25 25 25 25 25 15 15 20 15 15 20 10  
CWR.............70 70 70 70 60 60 60 60 60 60 10 10  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS AROUND 4 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5  
TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT,  
THEN DECREASING TO 0 TO 5 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................7 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH  
AROUND 5 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (PST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........73 43 43 43 53 53 53 64 64 64 66 66  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............40 40 39 40 39 39 40 40 39 39 40 39  
RH..............98 95 93 83 78 83 81 76 78 76 67 68  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W NW W W W NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 8 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7  
EYE LVL WND DIR.W W W W NW W W W NW NW NW NW  
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2  
EYE LVL WND GST.7 6 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5  
RIDGE WIND DIR..W SW W W W W W W W NW W N  
RIDGE WIND SPD..10 15 10 5 10 5 5 5 0 0 5 0  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 4 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY  
IN THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT EARLY IN  
THE MORNING BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........NORTH AROUND 0 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY  
IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST EARLY  
IN THE MORNING SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 5  
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................9 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (PST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........66 57 57 57 46 46 46 63 63 63 76 76  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............40 41 42 45 47 49 50 50 50 50 49 48  
RH..............60 52 51 48 47 46 46 46 47 49 50 51  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N E E E SE SE SE SE SE E  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 8 7 7 8 9 9 10 9 9 9  
EYE LVL WND DIR.N N N E E E SE SE SE SE SE E  
EYE LVL WND SPD.3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4  
EYE LVL WND GST.5 6 6 5 5 6 7 7 7 7 7 7  
RIDGE WIND DIR..N W E E S S S S S S S SE  
RIDGE WIND SPD..0 0 0 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
FRIDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. LOWS IN THE  
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH AT EYE LEVEL.    
SATURDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT  
WINDS AT EYE LEVEL.    
SUNDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY TURNING MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE. LOWS  
IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH  
AT EYE LEVEL.  
 
 
FORECASTER...MIGUEL MILLER  
REQUESTED BY...DANA BARRE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2602212.1/SGX  
.DELDT 02/11/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL GREGORY.PELSMA@USDA.GOV,DANA.BARRE@USDA.GOV,SM.FS.CNFECC@USDA.GOV,JASON.MCAHREN@USDA.GOV  
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