311
FSUS46 KSGX 142257
QPSSGX
QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
257 PM PST SAT FEB 14 2026
PRECIPITATION FORECAST IN INCHES IN 6-HOUR PERIODS...
[ BEGINNING TIMES FOR EACH PERIOD ARE IN LOCAL TIME... ]
[ FOR EXAMPLE...04THU ]
[ ...10THU IS A FORECAST FOR 4 AM TO 10 AM THURSDAY ]
[ FOR EXAMPLE...22THU ]
[ ...04FRI IS A FORECAST FOR 10 PM THURSDAY TO 4 AM FRIDAY]
..ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS
16SAT 22SAT 04SUN 10SUN 16SUN 22SUN 04MON 10MON 16MON 22MON
22SAT 04SUN 10SUN 16SUN 22SUN 04MON 10MON 16MON 22MON 04TUE
HUNTINGTON BEACH
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.62 0.13 0.22
NEWPORT BEACH
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.59 0.13 0.23
LAGUNA BEACH
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.59 0.16 0.23
SAN CLEMENTE
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.59 0.19 0.23
..ORANGE COUNTY INLAND AREAS
16SAT 22SAT 04SUN 10SUN 16SUN 22SUN 04MON 10MON 16MON 22MON
22SAT 04SUN 10SUN 16SUN 22SUN 04MON 10MON 16MON 22MON 04TUE
ANAHEIM
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.66 0.17 0.25
FULLERTON
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.66 0.15 0.22
BREA
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.70 0.17 0.25
VILLA PARK
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.63 0.18 0.26
..SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS
16SAT 22SAT 04SUN 10SUN 16SUN 22SUN 04MON 10MON 16MON 22MON
22SAT 04SUN 10SUN 16SUN 22SUN 04MON 10MON 16MON 22MON 04TUE
FREMONT CANYON
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.63 0.21 0.26
SILVERADO CANYON, 3 MI EAST OF SILVERADO
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.73 0.29 0.25
MODJESKA PRESERVE
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.79 0.28 0.28
SANTIAGO PEAK
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.80 0.31 0.25
EL CARISO
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.64 0.26 0.20
SANTA ROSA PLATEAU
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.61 0.24 0.20
..SAN BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE
16SAT 22SAT 04SUN 10SUN 16SUN 22SUN 04MON 10MON 16MON 22MON
22SAT 04SUN 10SUN 16SUN 22SUN 04MON 10MON 16MON 22MON 04TUE
ONTARIO
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.69 0.22 0.23
SAN BERNARDINO
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.57 0.34 0.19
BEAUMONT
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.52 0.54 0.24
RIVERSIDE
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.40 0.21 0.16
PERRIS VALLEY CHANNEL
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.39 0.21 0.15
PRADO DAM
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.54 0.20 0.21
TEMECULA
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.46 0.28 0.15
HEMET
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.43 0.42 0.19
..RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS
16SAT 22SAT 04SUN 10SUN 16SUN 22SUN 04MON 10MON 16MON 22MON
22SAT 04SUN 10SUN 16SUN 22SUN 04MON 10MON 16MON 22MON 04TUE
IDYLLWILD
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.58 0.69 0.30
..COACHELLA VALLEY
16SAT 22SAT 04SUN 10SUN 16SUN 22SUN 04MON 10MON 16MON 22MON
22SAT 04SUN 10SUN 16SUN 22SUN 04MON 10MON 16MON 22MON 04TUE
PALM SPRINGS
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.20 0.07
THERMAL
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.09 0.01
..SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS
16SAT 22SAT 04SUN 10SUN 16SUN 22SUN 04MON 10MON 16MON 22MON
22SAT 04SUN 10SUN 16SUN 22SUN 04MON 10MON 16MON 22MON 04TUE
SAN ANTONIO DAM
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11 2.03 0.47 0.45
LYTLE CREEK
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 1.58 0.45 0.37
WRIGHTWOOD
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.83 0.20 0.15
LAKE ARROWHEAD
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 1.25 0.80 0.42
BIG BEAR LAKE
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.63 0.65 0.25
BIG MORONGO CANYON
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.33 0.31 0.10
..APPLE AND LUCERNE VALLEYS
16SAT 22SAT 04SUN 10SUN 16SUN 22SUN 04MON 10MON 16MON 22MON
22SAT 04SUN 10SUN 16SUN 22SUN 04MON 10MON 16MON 22MON 04TUE
HESPERIA
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.30 0.14 0.06
VICTORVILLE
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.33 0.10 0.04
APPLE VALLEY
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.11 0.03
..SAN DIEGO COUNTY COASTAL AREAS
16SAT 22SAT 04SUN 10SUN 16SUN 22SUN 04MON 10MON 16MON 22MON
22SAT 04SUN 10SUN 16SUN 22SUN 04MON 10MON 16MON 22MON 04TUE
OCEANSIDE
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.48 0.21 0.23
MIRAMAR
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.36 0.23 0.20
SAN DIEGO INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.36 0.19 0.19
CHULA VISTA
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.34 0.22 0.16
SAN YSIDRO
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.33 0.24 0.15
..SAN DIEGO COUNTY VALLEYS
16SAT 22SAT 04SUN 10SUN 16SUN 22SUN 04MON 10MON 16MON 22MON
22SAT 04SUN 10SUN 16SUN 22SUN 04MON 10MON 16MON 22MON 04TUE
FALLBROOK
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.52 0.26 0.20
RANCHO BERNARDO
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.36 0.28 0.18
LA MESA
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.32 0.24 0.19
EL CAJON
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.27 0.19
..SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS
16SAT 22SAT 04SUN 10SUN 16SUN 22SUN 04MON 10MON 16MON 22MON
22SAT 04SUN 10SUN 16SUN 22SUN 04MON 10MON 16MON 22MON 04TUE
PALOMAR MOUNTAIN
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.52 0.47 0.20
JULIAN
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.34 0.43 0.18
MOUNT LAGUNA
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.31 0.10
CAMPO
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.34 0.55 0.19
..SAN DIEGO COUNTY DESERTS
16SAT 22SAT 04SUN 10SUN 16SUN 22SUN 04MON 10MON 16MON 22MON
22SAT 04SUN 10SUN 16SUN 22SUN 04MON 10MON 16MON 22MON 04TUE
BORREGO SPRINGS
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.11 0.03
A WINTER STORM IS CURRENTLY FORECAST TO MOVE IN MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY. THE HEAVIEST AND MOST WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION OCCURRING ON MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING,
WHERE THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. PERIODS OF LIGHT
TO MODERATE SHOWERS WILL PERSIST THROUGH TUESDAY WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF ENHANCED PRECIPITATION ON TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. LIGHT SHOWERS LINGER INTO THURSDAY,
WITH PRECIPITATION CHANCES LOWERING NEAR 10% ON FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY.
FOR THE 72 HR PERIOD FROM 4 AM MONDAY - 4 AM THURSDAY, THE NBM
CHANCES FOR AT LEAST 0.50" ARE 95-100% FOR THE MOUNTAINS
WESTWARD, 60-90% OVER THE HIGH DESERT, AND 20-60% OVER THE LOW
DESERTS, LOCALLY UP TO 70% NEAR THE SAN GORGONIO PASS. CHANCES OF
AT LEAST 1" ARE ARE AROUND 45-90% FOR THE COASTS AND VALLEYS,
70-100% FOR THE MOUNTAINS, 10-35% FOR THE HIGH DESERT, AND 5-20%
FOR THE LOW DESERT. AT THE 6500 FT LEVEL IN THE SAN BERNARDINO AND
RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS, THERE IS AROUND A 75-90% CHANCE OF AT
LEAST 12" OF SNOW DURING THIS SAME 72 HR PERIOD, AND AROUND A
45-65% CHANCE DOWN AT THE 5000 FT LEVEL. GIVEN THE HIGHER SNOW
LEVELS IN SAN DIEGO COUNTY, CHANCES OF AT LEAST 12" AT PALOMAR AND
MOUNT LAGUNA ARE AROUND 30-40%.
CURRENT OFFICIAL FORECASTED RAINFALL TOTALS RANGE FROM AROUND
1.25-2" FOR THE COASTS AND VALLEYS, 2-5" INCHES IN THE MOUNTAINS,
0.50-1.25" FOR THE HIGH DESERT, HIGHEST NEAR THE FOOTHILLS OF THE
MOUNTAINS, AND AROUND 0.25-0.75" FOR THE LOW DESERT, LOCALLY
AROUND 1.75" NEAR THE SAN GORGONIO PASS. IF THESE HIGHER AMOUNTS
VERIFY OVER THE NORTHERN COACHELLA VALLEY, INCREASED FLOWS ON THE
WHITEWATER RIVER COULD CAUSE FLOODING CONCERNS AT SOME OF THE LOW
WATER CROSSINGS. LATEST RIVER FORECAST ENSEMBLES HAVE AROUND A 40%
CHANCE OF THE SAN DIEGO RIVER REACHING MONITOR STAGE ON MONDAY
AND TUESDAY.
ADDITIONAL LIGHT RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOWFALL MAY OCCUR LATER IN THE
WEEK WITH LOW CONFIDENCE ON EXACT TOTALS. STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL
FOR THE WEEK COULD APPROACH 2 FEET ABOVE 7000 FT IN THE SAN
BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS. LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS
POSSIBLE ON I-15 THROUGH THE CAJON PASS AND I-8 NEAR PINE VALLEY
AND CRESTWOOD SUMMIT ON WEDNESDAY NIGH INTO THURSDAY MORNING,
THOUGH CONFIDENCE IS LOW.
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