773  
FNUS76 KSGX 251232  
FWSSGX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FRY CREEK UNIT 8...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA  
532 AM PDT SAT APR 25 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 PDT ON APRIL 25.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ONSHORE FLOW CONTINUES TODAY, INCREASING SOUTHWEST WINDS,  
HUMIDITY, AND THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS. GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON AND  
EVENING ARE EXPECTED TO BE 10-15 MPH AT THE SURFACE. CHANCES FOR  
SHOWERS WILL START AROUND 20% THIS MORNING AND INCREASE TO 50-60%  
BY THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING, LASTING THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY.  
CONDITIONS BEGIN TO DRY OUT MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH WEAKER  
ONSHORE WINDS, WARMER TEMPERATURES AND LOWER HUMIDITIES.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS, THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.  
MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST UP TO 8 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 13 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 18 MPH.  
RIDGETOP...........WEST 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH  
LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN DECREASING TO 10 TO  
15 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO  
AROUND 25 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING  
SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................13 PERCENT INCREASING TO 46 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 18  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........74 74 77 77 77 66 66 66 83 83 83 84  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............44 44 44 45 46 48 49 49 50 48 47 44  
RH..............66 69 71 70 75 72 72 77 78 82 88 92  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 6 6 5 6 8 9 10 12 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 6 9 10 10 10 11 13 15 17 18 18  
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
EYE LVL WND SPD.3 2 4 4 4 4 4 6 6 7 8 8  
EYE LVL WND GST.6 5 7 7 7 7 8 9 11 12 13 13  
RIDGE WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W SW SW SW  
RIDGE WIND SPD..10 10 15 10 10 20 10 15 25 15 15 25  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 50  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN  
THE EVENING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE  
EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.  
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 26 MPH  
EARLY IN THE EVENING THEN 21 MPH LATE IN THE  
EVENING, THEN THEN 23 MPH OVERNIGHT INCREASING  
TO 30 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 26 MPH  
EARLY IN THE EVENING THEN 21 MPH LATE IN THE  
EVENING, THEN THEN 23 MPH OVERNIGHT INCREASING  
TO 30 MPH.  
RIDGETOP...........WEST 20 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 30 MPH  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................46 PERCENT INCREASING TO 85 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
EVENING, THEN DECREASING TO 67 PERCENT EARLY IN  
THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.  
 
TIME (PDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........84 84 99 99 99 90 90 90 100 100 100 100  
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............42 41 40 40 40 41 41 40 40 40 39 39  
RH..............90 82 83 79 79 76 74 75 74 79 79 79  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW W W W W SW W SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 12 9 7 9 7 10 8 8 13 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 18 15 12 15 13 16 14 15 21 21  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW SW SW W W W W SW W SW SW  
EYE LVL WND SPD.9 8 8 7 5 6 5 7 6 6 9 9  
EYE LVL WND GST.13 13 13 11 9 11 9 12 10 11 15 15  
RIDGE WIND DIR..SW W W W W W W W W SW SW W  
RIDGE WIND SPD..20 20 25 20 20 25 20 25 25 25 25 30  
CWR.............50 50 50 50 50 90 90 90 90 90 90 70  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN  
THE MORNING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
LATE IN THE MORNING.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.  
MIN HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 14  
MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20  
MPH.  
RIDGETOP...........WEST AROUND 25 MPH.  
CWR.................67 PERCENT DECREASING TO 14 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 23 MPH.  
 
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 85 85 85 96 96 96 85  
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............38 38 40 41 42 43 44 46 46 46 44 43  
RH..............81 80 79 80 83 85 87 89 90 92 93 92  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..12 10 9 10 10 10 12 12 12 12 12 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 17 15 16 16 17 18 18 18 20 18 16  
EYE LVL WND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
EYE LVL WND SPD.8 7 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 9 8 7  
EYE LVL WND GST.13 12 11 12 12 12 13 13 13 14 13 12  
RIDGE WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
RIDGE WIND SPD..25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25  
CWR.............70 70 70 70 70 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
   
OUTLOOK FOR SATURDAY MAY 02 THROUGH FRIDAY MAY 08  
 
 
FORECASTER...LAUREN VILLAFANE  
REQUESTED BY...DANA BARRE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2611016.4/SGX  
.DELDT 04/25/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL SM.FS.CNFECC@USDA.GOV,DANA.BARRE@USDA.GOV,REYES.ARROYO@USDA.GOV,GILES.MCGERVEY@USDA.GOV  
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