420  
FNUS76 KSGX 131930  
FWSSGX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR RANCHO CARRILLO RX...FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA  
1230 PM PDT WED MAY 13 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 PDT ON MAY 18.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY SURROUNDING THE PATTERN FOR EARLY NEXT  
WEEK. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PASSING TO THE NORTH ON SUNDAY WILL  
ALLOW THE MARINE LAYER TO DEEPEN, WHICH SHOULD KEEP RELATIVE  
HUMIDITES HIGH. HOWEVER, THERE IS A CHANCE FOR WEAK OFFSHORE FLOW  
BEHIND THE SYSTEM ON MONDAY. IF FLOW TURNS OFFSHORE, THEN  
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES MAY BE LOWER THAN CURRENTLY EXPECTED AND  
WINDS MAY BE OUT OF THE NORTHEAST. NOT EXPECTING ANY SANTA ANA  
WINDS. OTHERWISE, A SUBTLE WARMING TREND IS ANTICIPATED FROM  
MONDAY THROUGH MID-NEXT WEEK.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.  
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AT 4 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 4 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
RIDGETOP...........  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 9  
TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........30 30 30 30 30 3 3 3 3 3 3 5  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............59 60 61 62 63 65 66 68 69 69 69 68  
RH..............69 67 64 62 60 58 57 58 58 59 60 62  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE S S S SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 5 5 7 7 7 8 8 8 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 8 8 10 10 10 11 11 11 10  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE S S S SW SW SW SW  
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
EYE LVL WND GST.3 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 5  
RIDGE WIND DIR..M M M M M M M M M M M M  
RIDGE WIND SPD..M M M M M M M M M M M M  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
RIDGETOP...........  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 8 MPH.  
 
TIME (PDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........5 5 5 5 5 16 16 16 16 16 16 23  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............66 64 62 61 60 60 60 59 59 58 58 58  
RH..............66 70 73 84 82 90 88 86 85 83 82 79  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SE SE SE E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 5 5 5 3 3 3 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 8 8 8 6 6 6 4 4 4 4  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SE SE SE E E E E  
EYE LVL WND SPD.3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1  
EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2  
RIDGE WIND DIR..M M M M M M M M M M M M  
RIDGE WIND SPD..M M M M M M M M M M M M  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.  
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST UP TO 4 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH LATE  
IN THE MORNING.  
RIDGETOP...........  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
8 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 15  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............60 63 66 67 68 69 71 72 73 74 73 72  
RH..............64 60 54 48 50 51 51 50 49 49 49 51  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E SE SE SE SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 4 7 7 7 8 8 8 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 4 4 6 8 8 8 11 11 11 10  
EYE LVL WND DIR.E E SE SE SE SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 1 2 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
EYE LVL WND GST.2 2 2 2 3 4 4 4 6 6 6 5  
RIDGE WIND DIR..M M M M M M M M M M M M  
RIDGE WIND SPD..M M M M M M M M M M M M  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 M  
   
FORECAST DAY 3
 
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT  
WINDS.  

 
FORECASTER...KYLE WHEELER  
REQUESTED BY...CYRUS GALVAN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2613572.0/SGX  
.DELDT 05/13/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CYRUS.GALVAN@USDA.GOV  
 
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