777
FXUS64 KSJT 070402
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1002 PM CST THU NOV 6 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH
SATURDAY.
- STRONG COLD FRONT SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY BRINGS MUCH COOLER
TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH A FREEZE MONDAY MORNING.
- TEMPERATURES WARM BACK UP BY MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1247 PM CST THU NOV 6 2025
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS QUASI-ZONAL FLOW ALOFT, KEEPING THE
SHORT TERM FORECAST QUIET. SOUTHWESTERLY DOWNSLOPE FLOW NEAR THE
SURFACE MAINTAINS DRY CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON, ALLOWING FOR
UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES TO CONTINUE. EXPECT AFTERNOON
HIGHS TO BE IN THE LOW-TO-MID 80S ACROSS THE REGION. AN UPPER-
LEVEL TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST WILL
SEND A WEAK COLD FRONT INTO THE AREA FRIDAY, BRIEFLY SHIFTING
WINDS TO NORTHERLY AND SHAVING 3-5 DEGREES OFF TODAY'S HIGHS
(ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY AND CONCHO VALLEY). BEHIND THE
AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT, EFFECTIVE RADIATIONAL COOLING DUE TO
CLEAR SKIES DROPS FRIDAY NIGHT'S LOWS INTO THE UPPER 40S FOR MOST.
GREENING
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1247 PM CST THU NOV 6 2025
UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS CONTINUE SATURDAY AHEAD OF A POTENT
STORM SYSTEM. HIGHS SATURDAY GENERALLY TOP OUT IN THE 80S. DURING
THE AFTERNOON, A SHORTWAVE TROUGH SWINGS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GREAT
PLAINS AND INTO THE MIDWEST, THEN PROCEEDS TO DEEPEN AS IT DIVES
DOWN ALONG THE EAST COAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE APPROACHING
TROUGH SENDS ITS ASSOCIATED, STRONG COLD FRONT DOWN INTO THE REGION
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING. NORTHERLY AND NORTHEASTERLY
WINDS WILL INCREASE CONSIDERABLY AS THE FRONT PUSHES IN. BY SUNDAY
MORNING, TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO SETTLE INTO THE 40S, WITH
SUNDAY'S HIGHS REACHING THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S. TEMPERATURES
MONDAY MORNING LOOK TO HOVER NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW THE FREEZING
MARK ACROSS THE REGION, WITH HIGHS WARMING INTO THE 60S. ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES RETURN MID WEEK AS THE TROUGH DEPARTS AND UPPER-
LEVEL RIDGING BEGINS TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. NO PRECIPITATION IS
CURRENTLY EXPECTED DURING THE LONG TERM PERIOD.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1002 PM CST THU NOV 6 2025
SOUTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT FOR TERMINALS ACROSS THE
CONCHO VALLEY SUCH AS ABILENE, SWEETWATER, SAN ANGELO AND BRADY,
WHILE BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE ELSEWHERE. LOW-LEVEL WIND SHEAR
IS ALSO LIKELY FOR THESE LOCATIONS DURING THE NIGHT. A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL PASS THROUGH THE REGION BY LATE MORNING. BEHIND THE
FRONT, WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHWESTERLY THEN NORTHERLY AFTER
SUNRISE, WITH GUSTS INCREASING TO AROUND 20KT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 84 57 80 51 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 89 55 81 47 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 87 53 88 46 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 87 54 81 47 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 84 56 78 51 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 86 52 82 49 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 86 59 82 50 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...SK
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