885
FXUS64 KSJT 072256
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
456 PM CST FRI NOV 7 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- DRIER CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY, WITH POTENTIAL FOR
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WITH GUSTY WINDS SATURDAY
AFTERNOON.
- GUSTY NORTH-NORTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY, IN THE WAKE OF A STRONG COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE.
- A FREEZE IS ANTICIPATED EARLY MONDAY MORNING WITH LOWS MOSTLY IN
THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S.
- GUSTY SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS POSSIBLE TUESDAY WITH MUCH WARMER
TEMPERATURES IN THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1218 PM CST FRI NOV 7 2025
A WEAK COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO TRAVERSE SOUTHEASTWARD TROUGH
PORTIONS OF OUR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES, BRINGING SOME BREEZY
NORTHERLY WINDS THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING AND SOME COOLER
TEMPERATURES TO WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. THE DRIER AIR MASS BEHIND THE
FRONT WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO DROP INTO THE 40S AND 50S
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING, AND MINIMUM RH VALUES TO
REMAIN IN THE TEENS TO 25 PERCENT RANGE. WITH THE LOWER RH VALUES
AND GUSTY WINDS SATURDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN
BIG COUNTRY AND NW CONCHO VALLEY, THERE ARE SOME CONCERNS FOR
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. HOWEVER, CONFIDENCE REMAINS
LOWER AT THIS TIME GIVEN THE MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES BEING A
LIMITING FACTOR.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 115 PM CST FRI NOV 7 2025
IN THE WAKE OF THE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING STRONG COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE, MUCH COOLER AIR WILL OVERSPREAD OUR AREA SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY, ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTY NORTH WINDS. THIS TO OCCUR
WITH A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDING SOUTH ACROSS THE GREAT
PLAINS AND INTO TEXAS. THIS WILL MAKE IT FEEL CHILLY ON SUNDAY,
ESPECIALLY IN THE MORNING. MORNING LOWS ON SUNDAY WILL BE IN THE
40S, WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
A FREEZE IS LIKELY ACROSS OUR AREA LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND EARLY
MONDAY MORNING, AS THE AFOREMENTIONED SURFACE HIGH SETTLES INTO
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS. A COMBINATION OF CLEAR SKIES, LIGHT
WINDS AND A DRY AIRMASS WILL RESULT IN IDEAL RADIATIONAL COOLING.
AT THIS TIME, GOING WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S, ALTHOUGH
LOW-LYING AREAS COULD HAVE LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN COOL ON MONDAY DESPITE FULL SUNSHINE,
WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S AND LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS WILL BECOME
SOUTH MONDAY AFTERNOON, AS THE SURFACE HIGH SHIFTS EAST INTO THE
LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. A WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN TUESDAY WITH
GUSTY SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS, WITH INCREASED PRESSURE GRADIENT AND
LEE SURFACE TROUGH DEVELOPMENT TO OUR WEST. WILL HAVE TO MONITOR
FOR THE POTENTIAL OF ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WITH THESE
CONDITIONS, GIVEN THE FORECAST LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
THE WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE IN THE MID-TO-LATE WEEK TIME FRAME.
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN CONUS TUESDAY,
AND IS PROGGED TO GRADUALLY SHIFT EAST INTO TEXAS BY THE START OF
NEXT WEEKEND. DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR OUR AREA, AND HIGHS
ARE EXPECTED TO GET BACK INTO THE 80S FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE
WEEK.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 453 PM CST FRI NOV 7 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF PERIOD. A
STRONG COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION LATE
SATURDAY EVENING AND SATURDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL CAUSE STRONGER,
GUSTIER WINDS TO DEVELOP AS THEY SHIFT TO THE NORTH.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 47 83 46 59 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 43 86 46 63 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 43 89 47 66 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 43 84 45 61 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 48 81 45 60 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 45 86 48 64 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 46 86 48 62 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...TP
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...41
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