372
FXUS64 KSJT 080443
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1043 PM CST FRI NOV 7 2025
..NEW LONG TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- DRIER CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY, WITH POTENTIAL FOR
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WITH GUSTY WINDS SATURDAY
AFTERNOON.
- GUSTY NORTH-NORTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY, IN THE WAKE OF A STRONG COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE.
- A FREEZE IS ANTICIPATED EARLY MONDAY MORNING WITH LOWS MOSTLY IN
THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S.
- GUSTY SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS POSSIBLE TUESDAY WITH MUCH WARMER
TEMPERATURES IN THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1218 PM CST FRI NOV 7 2025
A WEAK COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO TRAVERSE SOUTHEASTWARD TROUGH
PORTIONS OF OUR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES, BRINGING SOME BREEZY
NORTHERLY WINDS THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING AND SOME COOLER
TEMPERATURES TO WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. THE DRIER AIR MASS BEHIND THE
FRONT WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO DROP INTO THE 40S AND 50S
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING, AND MINIMUM RH VALUES TO
REMAIN IN THE TEENS TO 25 PERCENT RANGE. WITH THE LOWER RH VALUES
AND GUSTY WINDS SATURDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN
BIG COUNTRY AND NW CONCHO VALLEY, THERE ARE SOME CONCERNS FOR
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. HOWEVER, CONFIDENCE REMAINS
LOWER AT THIS TIME GIVEN THE MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES BEING A
LIMITING FACTOR.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1031 PM CST FRI NOV 7 2025
MUCH COLDER CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION FOR
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. IN FACT, A FREEZE IS LIKELY TO
OCCUR ON SUNDAY NIGHT. CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO DROP OFF QUITE A BIT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO
LOWER 30S ARE INDICATED BY MODEL GUIDANCE. IN FACT, WE MAY EVEN
SEE THE LOW LYING AREAS BE A BIT COLDER IN THE MIDDLE 20S.
THESE COOLER CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL INTO MONDAY BEFORE WARMING
TEMPERATURES RETURN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. THE HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. WILL ALLOW FOR TEMPERATURES
TO BE IN THE LOW TO MIDDLE 80S NEXT WEEK. NO CHANCE FOR
PRECIPITATION HAS BEEN INCLUDED IN THE FORECAST.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1031 PM CST FRI NOV 7 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF PERIOD. A
STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH AROUND 1-3Z AND SHIFT WINDS TO
NORTHERLY. EXPECT BREEZY AND GUSTY WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 80 47 83 46 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 81 43 85 46 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 88 43 89 47 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 82 43 84 46 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 79 48 80 45 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 82 45 85 49 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 82 46 84 48 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...TP
LONG TERM....41
AVIATION...41
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