613
FXUS64 KSJT 090422
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1022 PM CST SAT NOV 8 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- GUSTY NORTH-NORTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY,
IN THE WAKE OF A STRONG COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE.
- A FREEZE IS ANTICIPATED EARLY MONDAY MORNING WITH LOWS MOSTLY IN
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
- GUSTY SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS AND LOW RHS TUESDAY WILL LEAD TO
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 104 PM CST SAT NOV 8 2025
WITH AN UPPER TROUGH DEEPENING INTO THE MIDWEST, ASSOCIATED STRONG
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS OUR AREA FROM MID-AFTERNOON TO
LATE EVENING. GUSTY NORTH WINDS WILL FOLLOW ITS PASSAGE. OVERNIGHT
LOWS WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO MID 40S IN THE BIG COUNTRY, TO THE
MID/UPPER 40S IN OUR SOUTHERN COUNTIES. GUSTY NORTH-NORTHEAST WINDS
ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY SUNDAY, WITH THE HIGHEST SPEEDS
FROM MID-MORNING THROUGH MIDDAY. THIS TO OCCUR AS A STRONG SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDS SOUTH ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS AND INTO
TEXAS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH COOLER ON SUNDAY AND IT WILL FEEL
CHILLY IN THE MORNING WITH THE GUSTY WINDS. AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL BE
MOSTLY IN THE 60-65 DEGREE RANGE WITH SUNNY SKIES.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 122 PM CST SAT NOV 8 2025
TEMPERATURES MONDAY MORNING WILL BE THE COLDEST OF THE WEEK. SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND TODAY'S FRONT, BRINGING GOOD
RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL DROP INTO THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S BY THE EARLY
MORNING. AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL FOR MONDAY. BUT
AS THE WINDS SHIFT BACK TO THE SOUTH/SOUTHWEST AND UPPER LEVEL
RIDGING BUILDS TOWARDS THE AREA, TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY WARM
THROUGHOUT THE WEEK. SURFACE WINDS ON TUESDAY WILL BE BREEZY, WITH
SUSTAINED WINDS GENERALLY BETWEEN 15 AND 25 MPH. THE LREF HAS
MEDIUM TO HIGH CHANCES OF 35+MPH WIND GUSTS TUESDAY LATE MORNING
INTO THE AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS COMBINED WITH RH VALUES AROUND 15%
TO 25% WILL LEAD TO ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS FOR TUESDAY. A
SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY, BRINGING A
TEMPORARY WIND SHIFT. HOWEVER, NO IMPACTS ON TEMPERATURE ARE
EXPECTED WITH THE WIND SHIFT. HIGHS WILL BE BACK IN THE 80S FOR
MUCH OF THE AREA BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE FORECAST WILL REMAIN
DRY THROUGH THE WORK WEEK.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1019 PM CST SAT NOV 8 2025
A COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BRING STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS TO THE
REGION. EXPECT GUSTY WINDS TO PERSIST WITH A BRIEF WINDOW OF LOW
LEVEL WIND SHEAR ALSO BEING POSSIBLE. OTHERWISE, VFR CONDITIONS
SHOULD REMAIN IN PLACE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 45 62 33 61 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 46 64 33 63 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 47 67 32 63 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 46 63 31 59 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 45 61 35 62 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 48 65 34 62 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 48 63 33 59 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...19
LONG TERM....AP
AVIATION...41
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