485
FXUS64 KSJT 101653
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1053 AM CST MON NOV 10 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- GUSTY SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS AND LOW RHS TUESDAY WILL LEAD TO
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1220 AM CST MON NOV 10 2025
WIDE RANGE OF TEMPERATURES ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS EARLY THIS
MORNING, WITH THE USUAL COLD AIR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS DROPPING AS
MUCH AS 10 DEGREES COLDER THAN OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE SAME COUNTY.
THIS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNRISE WITH MULTIPLE AREAS DROPPING TO
NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING. WARM UP WILL BE RAPID LATER THIS MORNING
AND HAVE NO ISSUES WITH THE MODEL BLEND HIGH TEMPERATURES THIS
AFTERNOON IN THE LOW TO MID 60S.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS ALL THE WAY EAST INTO THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY BY SUNRISE TUESDAY MORNING, WITH LEE
TROUGH DEVELOPING OVERNIGHT. THIS WILL HELP KEEP WIND SPEEDS UP
WITH SOUTH WINDS INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH BY MORNING. THIS WILL
EFFECTIVELY KEEP TEMPERATURES MUCH WARMER WITH LOWS MAINLY IN THE
40S OVERNIGHT. READINGS WILL BE A LITTLE BIT COLDER ACROSS THE
HILL COUNTRY WHERE TEMPERATURES WILL DROP INTO THE 30S BEFORE WIND
SPEEDS START TO INCREASE.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 953 PM CST SUN NOV 9 2025
HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. WILL CONTINUE MOVING EAST ON
TUESDAY, WHICH WILL LEAVE MOSTLY BENIGN WEATHER IN PLACE ACROSS OUR
AREA. AS THIS HIGHER PRESSURE DEVELOPS OVERHEAD, WE WILL SEE
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE REGION INCREASE AND LEAD TO HIGHS IN THE 80S
BY THE MIDDLE OF THIS WEEK. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE ABOVE FREEZING IN
THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 40S.
LOOKING FURTHER AHEAD, THE NEXT POTENTIAL DISTURBANCE COULD MOVE
ACROSS THE AREA NEXT WEEKEND. AN ISOLATED RAIN SHOWER OR
THUNDERSTORM IS A VERY LOW POSSIBILITY (20%) AT THIS TIME. IN
GENERAL, IT SEEMS THAT AREAS FURTHER TO THE EAST HAVE THE BEST ODDS
OF SEEING THIS ACTIVITY.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1047 AM CST MON NOV 10 2025
LIGHT WINDS WERE SHIFTING BACK SOUTH AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
MOVES EAST THIS MORNING. STRONG GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY MORNING, WITH THE HIGHEST GUSTS 30 KTS AT
KABI, AND 27 KTS AT KSJT AND KBBD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 46 76 50 79 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 43 73 46 80 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 37 72 46 83 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 37 74 44 79 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 46 76 48 78 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 40 69 43 79 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 41 72 48 80 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....41
AVIATION...04
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