968
FXUS64 KSJT 110619
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1219 AM CST TUE NOV 11 2025
..NEW LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- GUSTY SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS AND LOW RHS TUESDAY WILL LEAD TO
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
- UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES RETURN FOR THE MIDDLE TO LATTER
PART OF THE WEEK.
- COOLER TEMPERATURES AND RAIN CHANCES RETURN THIS WEEKEND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 114 PM CST MON NOV 10 2025
LEE TROUGH WILL STRENGTHEN TUESDAY, WITH STRONG GUSTY SOUTHWEST
WINDS DEVELOPING TOWARD SUNRISE IN THE BIG COUNTRY AND MID MORNING
FARTHER SOUTH. WIND SPEEDS WILL BE MAINLY 20 TO 30 MPH. WIND GUSTS
OF 25 TO 35 MPH EXPECTED, WITH THE HIGHER GUSTS IN THE BIG COUNTRY.
THE MAIN CONCERN/HAZARD TUESDAY WILL BE ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS, AND ANTICIPATE A RANGELAND FIRE DANGER STATEMENT.
AFTERNOON RH MINIMUMS FALL INTO THE 17 TO 20 PERCENT RANGE. HIGHS IN
THE 70S EXPECTED, RANGING FROM LOWER 70S ALONG I-10 TO UPPER 70S
NORTH OF I-20.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1219 AM CST TUE NOV 11 2025
DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE WEDNESDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY, AS UPPER-LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE
AREA. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REACH UP INTO THE MID TO
UPPER 80S, BOTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY BEFORE GRADUALLY RETURNING TO
THE 70S BY THE END OF NEXT WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. RAIN
CHANCES BEGIN TO INCREASE ON SATURDAY AND CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY AS
THE UPPER LOW EVENTUALLY MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS COLORADO OR NEW
MEXICO AND INTO THE PLAINS. GIVEN THE CURRENT UNCERTAINTY IN THE
MODELS, WE WILL CONTINUE WITH 20 TO 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN OVER
THE WEEKEND, AND CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SYSTEM AS IT APPROACHES
CLOSER TO THE REGION.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1031 PM CST MON NOV 10 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE FOR THE REMAINDER
OF THE TAF PERIOD. SOME LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR IS LIKELY TO DEVELOP
TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. OTHERWISE, VERY BREEZY WINDS WILL
BE IN PLACE THROUGHOUT TOMORROW.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 62 45 76 49 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 65 43 73 47 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 65 37 73 45 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 60 37 75 43 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 63 46 77 48 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 63 40 70 43 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 61 41 73 47 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM CST TUESDAY FOR BROWN-
CALLAHAN-COKE-COLEMAN-CONCHO-CROCKETT-FISHER-HASKELL-IRION-JONES-
KIMBLE-MASON-MCCULLOCH-MENARD-NOLAN-RUNNELS-SAN SABA-SCHLEICHER-
SHACKELFORD-STERLING-SUTTON-TAYLOR-THROCKMORTON-TOM GREEN.
SHORT TERM...04
LONG TERM....TP
AVIATION...41
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