906
FXUS64 KSJT 121138
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
538 AM CST WED NOV 12 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES RETURN FOR THE MIDDLE TO LATTER
PART OF THE WEEK.
- COOLER TEMPERATURES AND LOW PROBABILITY RAIN CHANCES (20%-30%)
RETURN BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1212 AM CST WED NOV 12 2025
VERY QUIET IN THE SHORT TERM. WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS INTO
THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT, WITH SURFACE LEE TROUGH CONTINUING
ACROSS THE TEXAS/NEW MEXICO BORDER. CONTINUED SOUTH WINDS WILL
BRING WARMER TEMPERATURES TO THE AREA WITH SOME AREAS CLIMBING
INTO THE LOWER 80S THIS AFTERNOON. WIND SPEEDS REMAIN HIGH ENOUGH
TONIGHT TO KEEP MIXING GOING AND THUS OVERNIGHT LOWS FROM
BOTTOMING OUT ANYWHERE. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S AND LOWER 50S
TONIGHT, A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1221 AM CST WED NOV 12 2025
VERY WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH
RECORD HIGHS POSSIBLE FOR BOTH ABILENE AND SAN ANGELO ON FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY. MEANWHILE, AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS FORECAST TO COME
ASHORE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST BY SUNDAY. MODELS
CONTINUE TO TREND FURTHER NORTH WITH THIS SYSTEM KEEPING THE BEST
DYNAMICS WELL NORTH OF OUR AREA. AS A RESULT, RAIN CHANCES
CONTINUE TO DIMINISH FOR THE SUNDAY/MONDAY TIME FRAME. A SECOND
UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM MAY IMPACT THE REGION BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK. HOWEVER, THERE IS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY IN THE EVENTUAL
STRENGTH AND TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM. OTHERWISE, WE MAY SEE SLIGHTLY
COOLER TEMPERATURES BY TUESDAY AS THE UPPER RIDGE WEAKENS.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 537 AM CST WED NOV 12 2025
VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT MAINLY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS TERMINALS THROUGH SUNRISE THURSDAY
MORNING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 80 52 83 59 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 81 48 83 55 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 83 50 83 55 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 80 49 82 53 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 80 52 83 57 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 79 47 79 53 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 81 52 81 57 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....42
AVIATION...07
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