566
FXUS64 KSJT 131726
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1126 AM CST THU NOV 13 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- RECORD OR NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES THROUGH SUNDAY.
- RAIN CHANCES (20%-40%) RETURN FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1202 AM CST THU NOV 13 2025
THE FIRST OF SEVERAL DAYS WITH NEAR RECORD TO RECORD HIGH
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED. UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE WEST COAST OF THE
US IS HELPING STRENGTHEN THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS. LOW LEVEL THERMAL RIDGE CONTINUES TO BUILD, WITH
HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON CLIMBING WELL INTO THE 80S. FORECAST IS FOR
84 DEGREES AT BOTH SAN ANGELO AND ABILENE THIS AFTERNOON, WITH THE
RECORDS FOR THE DAY AT ABILENE BEING 85 (1944) AND SAN ANGELO
BEING 87 (1924).
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1244 AM CST THU NOV 13 2025
VERY WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH
RECORD HIGHS POSSIBLE FOR BOTH ABILENE AND SAN ANGELO FRIDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS FORECAST TO PASS WELL NORTH
OF OUR AREA ON MONDAY KEEPING FLAT UPPER RIDGING IN PLACE. A
SECOND UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MAY IMPACT THE REGION IN
THE WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY TIME FRAME OF NEXT WEEK. THERE REMAINS
CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY THIS FAR OUT IN THE EVENTUAL STRENGTH AND
TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM. THUS HAVE STUCK TO THE MODEL BLEND FOR NOW
SHOWING 20-40 POPS AREA WIDE. OTHERWISE, TEMPERATURES SHOULD COOL
BY WEDNESDAY AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE MOVES OFF TO THE EAST.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1023 AM CST THU NOV 13 2025
STRATUS HAS DISSIPATED ACROSS THE AREA LATE THIS MORNING. ANOTHER
ROUND OF STRATUS IS POSSIBLE AT THE SOUTHERN 3 SITES EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING, RESULTING IN BRIEF MVFR CEILINGS. VFR CEILINGS SHOULD
RETURN BY MID TO LATE MORNING. GUSTY SOUTH WINDS OF 10 TO 15 KNOTS
THIS AFTERNOON WILL DECREASE THIS EVENING, THEN INCREASE TO 10 TO
15 KNOTS BY MID TO LATE MORNING FRIDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 84 58 87 61 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 84 56 86 57 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 83 55 84 55 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 83 54 84 54 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 84 57 88 59 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 80 53 81 55 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 81 56 83 57 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....42
AVIATION...DANIELS
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