970
FXUS64 KSJT 131804
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1204 PM CST THU NOV 13 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- RECORD OR NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES THROUGH SUNDAY.
- RAIN CHANCES (20%-40%) RETURN FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1204 PM CST THU NOV 13 2025
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE WEATHER ACROSS
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS, RESULTING IN ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY
CONDITIONS. HIGHS ON FRIDAY WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S, WHICH
IS 15 TO 20 DEGREE ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS. THE NOVEMBER 14TH DAILY
RECORD HIGH FOR ABILENE IS 84 AND 88 FOR SAN ANGELO. ABILENE HAS A
HIGH CHANCE OF TYING OR BREAKING THIS RECORD, WHILE SAN ANGELO HAS A
LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCE OF TYING OR BREAKING THE RECORD.
LOWS FRIDAY MORNING ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S FOR
MOST LOCATIONS. STRATUS IS AGAIN POSSIBLE AROUND DAYBREAK ACROSS OUR
SOUTHERN COUNTIES, WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES RETURNING BY MID TO LATE
MORNING. SOME PATCHY FOG IS ALSO POSSIBLE, MAINLY ACROSS OUR
SOUTHEAST COUNTIES.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1244 AM CST THU NOV 13 2025
VERY WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH
RECORD HIGHS POSSIBLE FOR BOTH ABILENE AND SAN ANGELO FRIDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS FORECAST TO PASS WELL NORTH
OF OUR AREA ON MONDAY KEEPING FLAT UPPER RIDGING IN PLACE. A
SECOND UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MAY IMPACT THE REGION IN
THE WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY TIME FRAME OF NEXT WEEK. THERE REMAINS
CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY THIS FAR OUT IN THE EVENTUAL STRENGTH AND
TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM. THUS HAVE STUCK TO THE MODEL BLEND FOR NOW
SHOWING 20-40 POPS AREA WIDE. OTHERWISE, TEMPERATURES SHOULD COOL
BY WEDNESDAY AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE MOVES OFF TO THE EAST.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1023 AM CST THU NOV 13 2025
STRATUS HAS DISSIPATED ACROSS THE AREA LATE THIS MORNING. ANOTHER
ROUND OF STRATUS IS POSSIBLE AT THE SOUTHERN 3 SITES EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING, RESULTING IN BRIEF MVFR CEILINGS. VFR CEILINGS SHOULD
RETURN BY MID TO LATE MORNING. GUSTY SOUTH WINDS OF 10 TO 15 KNOTS
THIS AFTERNOON WILL DECREASE THIS EVENING, THEN INCREASE TO 10 TO
15 KNOTS BY MID TO LATE MORNING FRIDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 84 58 87 61 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 84 56 86 57 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 83 55 84 55 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 83 54 84 54 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 84 57 88 59 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 80 53 81 55 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 81 56 83 57 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...DANIELS
LONG TERM....42
AVIATION...DANIELS
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