061
FXUS64 KSJT 021746
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1246 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- COOLER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THIS WEEK WITH HIGHS MOSTLY IN THE
80S.
- LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCE (40%-70%) FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 229 AM CDT TUE JUN 2 2026
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING REMAINS IN PLACE OVER WEST-CENTRAL TEXAS
EARLY THIS MORNING, WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW JUST TO OUR WEST. AN UPPER
LEVEL LOW OFF THE COAST OF CALIFORNIA WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST TOWARDS
THE NORTHERN BAJA PENINSULA TODAY AND TONIGHT. AS THIS HAPPENS,
THE RIDING OVER OUR AREA WILL WEAKEN SLIGHTLY. WHILE THE
DIFFERENCE WILL BE MINIMAL, IT SHOULD BE ENOUGH FOR THE SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT WE'VE BEEN SEEING WEST OF OUR AREA EACH DAY
TO MAKE BETTER PROGRESS INTO OUR CWA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
THUS, WE WILL HAVE A LOW (20%-30%) CHANCE FOR ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN OUR AREA LATE THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS. WHILE MOST OF THE AREA WILL HAVE
A SMALL CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION, THE BEST CHANCES WILL STILL BE
OVER OUR WESTERN COUNTIES. THE OTHER EFFECT ON OUR FORECAST WILL
BE COOLER HIGHS, ALTHOUGH ONLY BY A FEW DEGREES GENERALLY. EXPECT
ANY CONVECTION THAT DOES DEVELOP TO END BY MID TO LATE EVENING.
OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL STILL BE WARM IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S,
WITH MOISTURE CONTENT REMAINING HIGH.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 229 AM CDT TUE JUN 2 2026
RAIN CHANCES AND COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO THE AREA BY
MID TO LATE WEEK. A MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE BAJA
REGION ON WEDNESDAY AND MOVE INTO NORTHERN MEXICO BY THE END OF
THE WEEK. PERIODIC DISTURBANCES AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE WILL LIFT
NORTHEAST ACROSS WEST TEXAS, AND INTERACT WITH A VERY MOIST
AIRMASS, RESULTING IN MEDIUM TO HIGH RAIN CHANCES (50 TO 80%)
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL LIFT NORTHEAST ACROSS
WEST TEXAS OVER THE WEEKEND, RESULTING IN ADDITIONAL RAIN CHANCES
(30-50%) ACROSS THE AREA. THE MAIN CONCERN THIS WEEK WILL BE A
THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND SOME LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING, DUE
TO THE VERY MOIST AIRMASS. THE SEVERE THREAT WILL REMAIN LOW, DUE
TO WEAK FLOW ALOFT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE CONSIDERABLY COOLER FOR
EARLY JUNE, WITH HIGHS IN THE 80S AREAWIDE BY MID TO LATE WEEK.
TEMPERATURES WARM A BIT OVER THE WEEKEND, WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S AND LOWER 90S BY SUNDAY.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1246 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2026
VFR CONDITIONS RETURNED TO ALL TERMINALS LATE THIS MORNING AND
WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH EARLY TO MID WEDNESDAY MORNING, WHEN
MVFR CEILINGS AND POTENTIAL SHOWERS BEGIN TO DEVELOP ACROSS ALL
TERMINALS EXCEPT KABI. ADDED IN SOME VCSH TO SHOW THE INCOMING
SHOWERS ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING AS WELL. WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO BRIEFLY INCREASE FROM THE SOUTHEAST THIS
AFTERNOON, AROUND 10 KTS WITH SOME GUSTS UP TO 20 KTS POSSIBLE
THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL RETURN TO LIGHT AND
VARIABLE OVERNIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 93 71 89 69 / 10 10 20 30
SAN ANGELO 91 69 86 67 / 10 20 40 40
JUNCTION 92 68 87 67 / 10 10 40 30
BROWNWOOD 92 69 87 67 / 10 20 20 30
SWEETWATER 95 70 89 67 / 10 10 50 40
OZONA 90 69 86 67 / 0 30 50 30
BRADY 90 68 85 67 / 20 20 20 30
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...99
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