773
FXUS64 KSJT 062305
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
605 PM CDT SAT JUN 6 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- MEDIUM TO HIGH CHANCES (40-70%) FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH TONIGHT, WITH LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE.
- A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING, WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN
HAZARDS.
- HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS RETURN NEXT WEEK AND INTO THE FOLLOWING
WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1215 PM CDT SAT JUN 6 2026
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING LATE THIS
MORNING, PRIMARILY ACROSS THE WESTERN BIG COUNTRY. A MOIST AND
UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL EXIST THIS AFTERNOON AND ADDITIONAL SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE
A CONCERN TODAY, GIVEN PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES AROUND 1.5
INCHES. TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS WILL ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER STORMS,
WITH RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME
POSSIBLE. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN
HALF OF THE BIG COUNTRY AND NORTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU THROUGH
TONIGHT. VERY HEAVY RAINFALL FELL ACROSS A GOOD PORTION OF THIS
AREA YESTERDAY EVENING AND OVERNIGHT, SO ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
WILL LIKELY LEAD TO SOME FLOODING ISSUES.
IN ADDITION TO THE EXCESSIVE RAIN POTENTIAL, A MARGINAL RISK FOR
LOCALIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS FOR MUCH OF THE AREA INTO
THE EVENING HOURS. LARGE HAIL, MAINLY UP TO QUARTER SIZE AND
ISOLATED WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST
STORMS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES WILL PERSIST TONIGHT,
PRIMARILY OVER EASTERN SECTIONS, WITH RAINFALL ENDING BEFORE
DAYBREAK SUNDAY MORNING.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1215 PM CDT SAT JUN 6 2026
DRY AND WARMER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK, AS
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING DEVELOPS ACROSS TEXAS. THIS PATTERN WILL
RESULT IN NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY WITH ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AS WE HEAD INTO NEXT WEEK. THE HOTTEST TEMPERATURES
ARE EXPECTED BY MID TO LATE WEEK, WHEN MOST OF THE AREA WILL SEE
HIGHS IN THE MID AND UPPER 90S, WITH SOME READINGS TOPPING THE 100
DEGREE MARK ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE BIG COUNTRY. OVERNIGHT
LOWS WILL BE IN THE 70S.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 557 PM CDT SAT JUN 6 2026
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THIS
EVENING, WITH MOST OF THIS ACTIVITY DISSIPATING BY MID-EVENING.
HEAVY RAIN MAY REDUCE VISIBILITIES WITHIN ANY THUNDERSTORMS.
STRATUS WILL SPREAD TO ALL SITES, EXCEPT KABI, SUNDAY MORNING
RESULTING IN MVFR CEILINGS. VFR CEILINGS WILL RETURN TO ALL SITES
BY LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON SUNDAY. EXPECT LIGHT WINDS
OVERNIGHT WITH SOUTH WINDS INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 KNOTS, WITH
HIGHER GUSTS, BY MID TO LATE MORNING SUNDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 70 94 75 97 / 50 10 0 0
SAN ANGELO 70 94 73 96 / 40 0 0 0
JUNCTION 71 93 72 95 / 10 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 69 92 74 95 / 80 10 0 0
SWEETWATER 68 96 74 99 / 40 0 0 0
OZONA 70 93 72 93 / 10 0 0 0
BRADY 70 91 73 93 / 60 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR BROWN-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-
HASKELL-JONES-SHACKELFORD-TAYLOR-THROCKMORTON.
SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM....24
AVIATION...DANIELS
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