171
FXUS64 KSJT 081803
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
103 PM CDT MON JUN 8 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH MOST OF THIS WEEK.
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE (10-30%) OF THE NEED FOR A HEAT ADVISORY
FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
- A LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCE (30-50%) OF SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE
EXPECTED SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK AS A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES INTO
THE AREA.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1221 PM CDT MON JUN 8 2026
CONTINUED HOT AND MUGGY CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS ACROSS
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. SEVERAL OF THE LATEST CAMS ARE SHOWING A
LITTLE WARM ADVECTION SHOWERS AND STORMS ACROSS THE NORTHERN
EDWARDS PLATEAU NORTH INTO PORTIONS OF THE CONCHO VALLEY TOMORROW
MORNING AND THERE IS ENOUGH THERE TO WARRANT A MENTION OF ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND STORMS. OTHERWISE, LOOKING AT PRETTY STEADY-STATE
CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LOWS TONIGHT IN THE LOW TO
MID 70S AND HIGHS TOMORROW IN THE LOW TO MID 90S.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1221 PM CDT MON JUN 8 2026
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE GULF
COAST FOR MID TO LATE WEEK, KEEPING HOT AND MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS
IN PLACE. TEMPERATURES WELL UP INTO THE 90S AND PERHAPS PUSHING
100 IN SOME AREAS WILL BE LIKELY. PROBLEM WILL END UP BEING
POTENTIAL HEAT INDEX VALUES WITH EVAPOTRANSPIRATION BUMPING
HUMIDITY VALUES UP. SOME HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL CREEP NEAR OR
ABOVE THE 105 DEGREE MARK, MOST LIKELY ACROSS THE BIG COUNTY FOR
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AND THEN PERHAPS INTO THE WEEKEND AS WELL.
RIDGE STARTS TO SHIFT BACK SOUTHEAST AS A DEEPER UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS FOR THE WEEKEND
INTO NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL BOTH PUSH A SURFACE COLD FRONT INTO THE
AREA AND PROVIDE A LITTLE BETTER UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT FOR MORE
SHOWERS AND STORMS. NOT THE STRONGEST CONVECTIVE SIGNAL BUT MODEL
BLENDS ARE SHOWING LOW TO MEDIUM POP CHANCES (30-50%) STARTING AS
EARLY AS LATE SUNDAY AND THIS SEEMS REASONABLE FOR NOW.
TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE A LITTLE COOLER (CLOSER TO SEASONAL NORMALS
AT LEAST) AS WELL.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1221 PM CDT MON JUN 8 2026
MVFR CIGS THIS MORNING CONTINUE TO SLOWLY LIFT AND DISSIPATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND WILL LEAVE VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING HOURS. STRATUS REDEVELOPMENT AGAIN EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AND
WILL SPREAD SOUTH TO NORTH ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE OVERNIGHT
AND EARLY MORNING HOURS. OTHERWISE, SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TO BE GUSTY AT TIMES, ESPECIALLY DURING DAYLIGHT HOURS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 74 93 74 96 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 73 93 73 96 / 0 10 0 0
JUNCTION 72 94 71 95 / 10 10 0 0
BROWNWOOD 73 93 72 96 / 0 10 0 0
SWEETWATER 73 94 73 97 / 0 10 0 0
OZONA 72 90 71 92 / 0 20 0 0
BRADY 71 91 71 93 / 0 10 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...07
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