867
FNUS76 KSTO 080130
FWSSTO
SPOT FORECAST FOR PHOENIX VMP DAY 3...CAL FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
630 PM PDT TUE OCT 7 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 PDT ON OCTOBER 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TOMORROW
AT THE BURN LOCATION. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL SLIGHTLY TOMORROW, ALONG
WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS AS AN APPROACHING WEATHER SYSTEM WILL AID IN
ONSHORE FLOW TO THE REGION. THURSDAY, TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE
UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S AT THE BURN SITE. PRECIPITATION SHOULD REMAIN
NORTH OF THE BURN SITE ON THURSDAY. BY FRIDAY, BETTER CHANCES OF RAIN
EXIST, WITH AROUND A 40-60% CHANCE OF 0.10" INCHES OF RAINFALL ON
FRIDAY AT THE BURN SITE.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-80.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH UP TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 5 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 14 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............60 66 71 73 74 75 76 76 77 76
RH..............43 38 36 34 35 36 35 36 36 39
SL/VL WIND DIR..SE SE S S S S S S S S
SL/VL WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7
SL/VL WIND GUST.8 8 8 9 12 14 15 16 16 16
RIDGE WIND DIR..SE SE SE S S S S S S S
RIDGE WIND SPD..5 5 5 9 9 9 14 14 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.2 0.2 1.4 1.4 1.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 1.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 9 9 9 14 14 14 14
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-55.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHEAST 10 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 14 MPH.
CWR.................2 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR PC
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............73 71 65 62 60 59 58 57 56 55 54 54
RH..............44 52 62 68 72 74 76 78 79 81 83 85
SL/VL WIND DIR..S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
SL/VL WIND SPD..7 7 8 8 8 7 7 7 9 9 9 9
SL/VL WIND GUST.16 16 15 15 15 13 13 13 16 16 16 15
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
RIDGE WIND SPD..14 14 12 12 12 10 10 10 12 12 12 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 12 12 12 10 10 10 12 12 12 13
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-70.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 10 TO 16 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 16 MPH.
CWR.................2 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......PC PC MC MC MC PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............54 54 55 58 60 63 65 66 66 67 68 67
RH..............87 87 85 80 73 66 61 58 55 52 51 52
SL/VL WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S
SL/VL WIND SPD..9 9 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 7
SL/VL WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 16 16 16 18 18 18 15
RIDGE WIND DIR..SE SE S S S S S S S S S S
RIDGE WIND SPD..13 13 10 10 10 12 12 12 16 16 16 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 10 10 10 12 12 12 16 16 16 12
FORECASTER...JW
REQUESTED BY...MATTHEW BRADY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2523143.0/STO
.DELDT 10/08/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JASON.DYER@FIRE.CA.GOV,VLAD.NYPLE@FIRE.CA.GOV,CHIP.FOLWER@FIRE.CA.GOV,MATTHEW.BRADY@FIRE.CA.GOV
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