306  
FNUS76 KSTO 072158  
FWSSTO  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MANZANITA CHUTES...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA  
158 PM PST FRI NOV 7 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1600 PST ON NOVEMBER 07.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
MOSTLY CLEAR AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT THE BURN SITE  
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BECOME MORE  
FAVORABLE FOR BURNING AS WELL THIS WEEKEND, AS UPPER LEVEL  
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN THE AREA AND HELPS WARM AND DRY THINGS  
OUT FOR THE REGION. GENERALLY, LIGHT TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS CAN  
BE EXPECTED IN THIS PATTERN AS WELL. OUR NEXT SHOT FOR WIDESPREAD  
PRECIPITATION ENTERS THE FORECAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT/THURSDAY MORNING,  
WITH SOME LONG RANGE MODELS HINTING AT ACTIVITY CONTINUING INTO NEXT  
WEEKEND.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-55.  
MIN HUMIDITY........77-81 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
RIDGETOP...........NORTHEAST AROUND 2 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 2 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PST) 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......PC PC  
CWR.............0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0  
TEMP............51 48  
RH..............87 96  
SL/VL WIND DIR..W N  
SL/VL WIND SPD..1 1  
SL/VL WIND GUST.3 3  
RIDGE WIND DIR..NE NE  
RIDGE WIND SPD..2 2  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 1.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.2 2  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-38.  
MAX HUMIDITY........84-88 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
RIDGETOP...........EAST 2 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 12 MPH  
AFTER 3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 12 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......PC MCR MCR PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............44 41 39 40 40 39 39 40 39 39 39 37  
RH..............98 100 100 92 85 80 76 71 70 69 71 71  
SL/VL WIND DIR..NE E E E E E E E E E E E  
SL/VL WIND SPD..1 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3  
SL/VL WIND GUST.3 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 9  
RIDGE WIND DIR..NE E E E E E E E E E E E  
RIDGE WIND SPD..2 7 7 7 8 8 8 9 9 9 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE E E E E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.2 7 7 7 8 8 8 9 9 9 12 12  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-69.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45-49 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
RIDGETOP...........EAST 3 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 12 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC MCR PC PC PC  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............38 39 43 51 59 63 64 66 65 64 61 57  
RH..............73 73 76 67 56 48 50 47 51 56 66 71  
SL/VL WIND DIR..E E E E E NE NW NW N NE E E  
SL/VL WIND SPD..3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1  
SL/VL WIND GUST.9 10 8 8 7 7 7 7 6 5 3 3  
RIDGE WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E E  
RIDGE WIND SPD..12 10 10 10 5 5 5 3 3 3 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 1.0 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 10 10 10 5 5 5 3 3 3 7 7  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SUNDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.  
LIGHT WINDS.    
MONDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.  
LIGHT WINDS.    
VETERANS DAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.  
LIGHT WINDS.    
WEDNESDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN  
THE UPPER 50S.    
THURSDAY  
 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50.  
   
OUTLOOK FOR SATURDAY NOVEMBER 15 THROUGH FRIDAY NOVEMBER 21  
 
CONFIDENCE CONTINUES TO INCREASE IN ACTIVE WEATHER ARRIVING WEDNESDAY  
EVENING/THURSDAY MORNING, AND CONTINUING INTO THE WEEKEND.  
 
FORECASTER...JW  
REQUESTED BY...TRAVIS.SCHNEIDER@USDA.GOV  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2524981.3/STO  
.DELDT 11/07/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL TRAVIS.SCHNEIDER@USDA.GOV  
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